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エルチェ vs トゥールーズ

Baseline forecast,stats and analysis

ホーム form
Projected score2–13.27 expected goals
アウェイ form
ホーム勝利45%
引き分け23%
アウェイ勝利32%
Baseline forecastホーム勝利Tier C · 45% selection probability
Baseline forecast · Tier C

Match prediction

Low-confidence goal-prior fallback leans HOME Compare the forecast probabilities, fair prices, form and key match signals below.

Primary callホーム勝利45% selection probability
Projected score2–1エルチェトゥールーズ
Expected goals3.27始値 match profile
Goals 2.5オーバー64% for the selected side
両チーム得点はい64% for the selected side
Expected corners8.2アンダー 9.5
Market dashboard

Every available prediction

Each row shows the selection and probability for that market. Correct-score and corner projections do not include standalone probabilities.

Market選択確率フェアオッズ
45% / 23% / 32%試合結果ホーム勝利45%2.22
Derived from 1X2 · excludes draw (22.8%)ダブルチャンス1277.2%1.30
オーバー 64% · アンダー 36%Goals 2.5オーバー64%1.56
はい 64% · いいえ 36%両チーム得点はい64%1.56
3.27 total expected goals正確なスコア2–1
8.2 expected match cornersコーナーアンダー 9.5
Probability view

Forecast probabilities and fair odds

いいえ snapshot-bound 1X2 price was available for this forecast, so this page does not show a market comparison or probability-gap claim.

OutcomeForecast probabilityフェアオッズ
エルチェ win45%2.22
引き分け23%4.35
トゥールーズ win32%3.13

Fair odds are calculated directly from the published forecast probabilities and are not bookmaker prices.

Scoring projection

Expected-goals split

Expected goals show how the projected scoring total is divided between the two teams.

エルチェ1.80

ホーム share of expected goals 55%

Total expected goals3.27始値

Dedicated goals model: オーバー 64% · アンダー 36%

トゥールーズ1.47

アウェイ share of expected goals 45%

Projected score2–1BTTS splitはい 64% · いいえ 36%Match profile始値
Recent form

Five-result form summary

The five displayed results are summarized into wins, draws, losses and points for a quick comparison.

ホーム-context · form sequence

エルチェ

1.60pts / match
試合数5Wins2Drawn2Losses1ポイント8

Signalホーム unbeaten 4/5

アウェイ-context · form sequence

トゥールーズ

2.33pts / match
試合数3Wins2Drawn1Losses0ポイント7

Signalホーム matches over 2.5: 4/5

Side-by-side

Matchup comparison

Current match outlook
45%
勝ち probability excluding draw
32%
8
Points from supplied form
7
1.80
Expected goals
1.47
エルチェトゥールーズ
Signals and risk

What supports — and challenges — the call

Signals are kept separate from derived risk checks so the page never turns one trend into certainty.

Match signal

Low-confidence goal-prior fallback leans HOME

This is the main matchup observation to consider alongside the probabilities and recent form.

01エルチェ signalホーム unbeaten 4/5

This trend belongs to the home team and should be read alongside the probability table.

02トゥールーズ signalホーム matches over 2.5: 4/5

This trend belongs to the away team and does not override the independent market probabilities.

!Primary-call risk55% outside the selected call

The selected outcome can still fail. 引き分け probability alone is 23%.

Match questions

エルチェ vs トゥールーズ FAQ

What is the current prediction?

Current prediction: ホーム勝利 · Projected score 2–1 · 45% selection probability.

What are the 1X2 probabilities?

エルチェ 勝ち 45%,引き分け 23%,トゥールーズ 勝ち 32%。

Is this expected to be a high-scoring match?

Total expected goals 3.27 · オーバー 2.5 64% · Current selection オーバー