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CHN China Division 1 · Round 17 ·

Сучжоу Дунъу vs Чанчунь Ятай

Full model forecast,stats and analysis

Хозяева form
Projected score1–12.36 expected goals
Гости form
Победа хозяев35%
Ничья28%
Победа гостей37%
Full model forecastПобеда гостейTier A · 37% selection probability
Full model forecast · Tier A

Match prediction

Model and market agree on AWAY Compare the forecast, reference prices, form and key match signals below.

Primary callПобеда гостей37% selection probability
Projected score1–1Сучжоу ДунъуЧанчунь Ятай
Expected goals2.36Balanced match profile
Goals 2.5Меньше58% for the selected side
Обе забьютНет52% for the selected side
Expected corners8.8Меньше 9.5
Market dashboard

Every available prediction

Each row shows the selection and probability for that market. Correct-score and corner projections do not include standalone probabilities.

MarketВыборВероятностьСправедливый коэффициент
35% / 28% / 37%Исход матчаПобеда гостей37%2.70
Derived from 1X2 · excludes draw (28.1%)Двойной шанс1271.9%1.39
Больше 42% · Меньше 58%Goals 2.5Меньше58%1.72
Да 48% · Нет 52%Обе забьютНет52%1.92
2.36 total expected goalsТочный счёт1–1
8.8 expected match cornersУгловыеМеньше 9.5
Price comparison

Published forecast vs reference market

Reference odds are converted to normalized probabilities. The gap is descriptive and is not a claim of guaranteed value.

Displayed margin11.3%Largest probability gapЧанчунь Ятай winDifference+0.3 pp
OutcomeПрогнозСправедливый коэффициентReference oddsNormalized marketDifference
Сучжоу Дунъу win35%2.862.5535.2%-0.2 pp
Ничья28%3.573.2028.1%-0.1 pp
Чанчунь Ятай win37%2.702.4536.7%+0.3 pp

Reference odds are the pre-match prices stored with this forecast; later market movements do not change the original review.

Scoring projection

Expected-goals split

Expected goals show how the projected scoring total is divided between the two teams.

Сучжоу Дунъу1.12

Хозяева share of expected goals 47.5%

Total expected goals2.36Balanced

Dedicated goals model: Больше 42% · Меньше 58%

Чанчунь Ятай1.24

Гости share of expected goals 52.5%

Projected score1–1BTTS splitДа 48% · Нет 52%Match profileBalanced
Recent form

Five-result form summary

The five displayed results are summarized into wins, draws, losses and points for a quick comparison.

Хозяева-context · form sequence

Сучжоу Дунъу

1.20pts / match
Сыграно5Wins1Drawn3Losses1Баллы6

SignalХозяева unbeaten 4/5

Гости-context · form sequence

Чанчунь Ятай

1.40pts / match
Сыграно5Wins2Drawn1Losses2Баллы7

SignalХозяева clean sheets: 3/5

Side-by-side

Matchup comparison

Current match outlook
35%
Выигрыш probability excluding draw
37%
6
Points from supplied form
7
1.12
Expected goals
1.24
Сучжоу ДунъуЧанчунь Ятай
Signals and risk

What supports — and challenges — the call

Signals are kept separate from derived risk checks so the page never turns one trend into certainty.

Match signal

Model and market agree on AWAY

This is the main matchup observation to consider alongside the probabilities and recent form.

01Сучжоу Дунъу signalХозяева unbeaten 4/5

This trend belongs to the home team and should be read alongside the probability table.

02Чанчунь Ятай signalХозяева clean sheets: 3/5

This trend belongs to the away team and does not override the independent market probabilities.

!Primary-call risk63% outside the selected call

The selected outcome can still fail. Ничья probability alone is 28%.

Match questions

Сучжоу Дунъу vs Чанчунь Ятай FAQ

What is the current prediction?

Current prediction: Победа гостей · Projected score 1–1 · 37% selection probability.

What are the 1X2 probabilities?

Сучжоу Дунъу выигрыш 35%,Ничья 28%,Чанчунь Ятай выигрыш 37%。

Is this expected to be a high-scoring match?

Total expected goals 2.36 · ТБ 2.5 42% · Current selection Меньше