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EUR Europe Friendlies · Матч ·

Эркулес vs ФК Кастельон

Market-based forecast,stats and analysis

Хозяева form
Projected score1–23.23 expected goals
Гости form
Победа хозяев28%
Ничья26%
Победа гостей46%
Market-based forecastПобеда гостейTier B · 46% selection probability
Market-based forecast · Tier B

Match prediction

Market-led fallback leans AWAY Compare the forecast, reference prices, form and key match signals below.

Primary callПобеда гостей46% selection probability
Projected score1–2ЭркулесФК Кастельон
Expected goals3.23Открытие match profile
Goals 2.5Больше62% for the selected side
Обе забьютДа65% for the selected side
Expected corners8.2Меньше 9.5
Market dashboard

Every available prediction

Each row shows the selection and probability for that market. Correct-score and corner projections do not include standalone probabilities.

MarketВыборВероятностьСправедливый коэффициент
28% / 26% / 46%Исход матчаПобеда гостей46%2.17
Derived from 1X2 · excludes draw (25.7%)Двойной шанс1274.3%1.35
Больше 62% · Меньше 38%Goals 2.5Больше62%1.61
Да 65% · Нет 35%Обе забьютДа65%1.54
3.23 total expected goalsТочный счёт1–2
8.2 expected match cornersУгловыеМеньше 9.5
Price comparison

Reference market used for this forecast

This market-based forecast is aligned to the normalized pre-match 1X2 reference. The comparison is contextual and makes no betting-edge claim.

Displayed margin10.6%Forecast sourceMarket-basedEdge claimНет
OutcomeПрогнозСправедливый коэффициентReference oddsNormalized marketDifference
Эркулес win28%3.573.4026.6%
Ничья26%3.853.5025.8%
ФК Кастельон win46%2.171.9047.6%

Reference odds are the pre-match prices stored with this forecast; later market movements do not change the original review.

Scoring projection

Expected-goals split

Expected goals show how the projected scoring total is divided between the two teams.

Эркулес1.49

Хозяева share of expected goals 46.1%

Total expected goals3.23Открытие

Dedicated goals model: Больше 62% · Меньше 38%

ФК Кастельон1.74

Гости share of expected goals 53.9%

Projected score1–2BTTS splitДа 65% · Нет 35%Match profileОткрытие
Recent form

Five-result form summary

The five displayed results are summarized into wins, draws, losses and points for a quick comparison.

Хозяева-context · form sequence

Эркулес

1.33pts / match
Сыграно3Wins1Drawn1Losses1Баллы4

SignalГости unbeaten 4/5

Гости-context · form sequence

ФК Кастельон

2.00pts / match
Сыграно5Wins3Drawn1Losses1Баллы10

SignalГости matches over 2.5: 3/5

Side-by-side

Matchup comparison

Current match outlook
28%
Выигрыш probability excluding draw
46%
4
Points from supplied form
10
1.49
Expected goals
1.74
ЭркулесФК Кастельон
Signals and risk

What supports — and challenges — the call

Signals are kept separate from derived risk checks so the page never turns one trend into certainty.

Match signal

Market-led fallback leans AWAY

This is the main matchup observation to consider alongside the probabilities and recent form.

01Эркулес signalГости unbeaten 4/5

This trend belongs to the home team and should be read alongside the probability table.

02ФК Кастельон signalГости matches over 2.5: 3/5

This trend belongs to the away team and does not override the independent market probabilities.

!Primary-call risk54% outside the selected call

The selected outcome can still fail. Ничья probability alone is 26%.

Match questions

Эркулес vs ФК Кастельон FAQ

What is the current prediction?

Current prediction: Победа гостей · Projected score 1–2 · 46% selection probability.

What are the 1X2 probabilities?

Эркулес выигрыш 28%,Ничья 26%,ФК Кастельон выигрыш 46%。

Is this expected to be a high-scoring match?

Total expected goals 3.23 · ТБ 2.5 62% · Current selection Больше