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EUR Europe Friendlies · Fixture ·

Hercules vs CD Castellon

Market-based forecast,stats and analysis

Home form
Projected score1–23.23 expected goals
Away form
Home win28%
Draw26%
Away win46%
Market-based forecastAway winTier B · 46% selection probability
Market-based forecast · Tier B

Match prediction

Market-led fallback leans AWAY Compare the forecast, reference prices, form and key match signals below.

Primary callAway win46% selection probability
Projected score1–2HerculesCD Castellon
Expected goals3.23Open match profile
Goals 2.5Over62% for the selected side
Both teams scoreYes65% for the selected side
Expected corners8.2Under 9.5
Market dashboard

Every available prediction

Each row shows the selection and probability for that market. Correct-score and corner projections do not include standalone probabilities.

MarketSelectionProbabilityFair odds
28% / 26% / 46%Match resultAway win46%2.17
Derived from 1X2 · excludes draw (25.7%)Double chance1274.3%1.35
Over 62% · Under 38%Goals 2.5Over62%1.61
Yes 65% · No 35%Both teams scoreYes65%1.54
3.23 total expected goalsCorrect score1–2
8.2 expected match cornersCornersUnder 9.5
Price comparison

Reference market used for this forecast

This market-based forecast is aligned to the normalized pre-match 1X2 reference. The comparison is contextual and makes no betting-edge claim.

Displayed margin10.6%Forecast sourceMarket-basedEdge claimNone
OutcomeForecastFair oddsReference oddsNormalized marketDifference
Hercules win28%3.573.4026.6%
Draw26%3.853.5025.8%
CD Castellon win46%2.171.9047.6%

Reference odds are the pre-match prices stored with this forecast; later market movements do not change the original review.

Scoring projection

Expected-goals split

Expected goals show how the projected scoring total is divided between the two teams.

Hercules1.49

Home share of expected goals 46.1%

Total expected goals3.23Open

Dedicated goals model: Over 62% · Under 38%

CD Castellon1.74

Away share of expected goals 53.9%

Projected score1–2BTTS splitYes 65% · No 35%Match profileOpen
Recent form

Five-result form summary

The five displayed results are summarized into wins, draws, losses and points for a quick comparison.

Home-context · form sequence

Hercules

1.33pts / match
Played3Wins1Drawn1Losses1Points4

SignalAway unbeaten 4/5

Away-context · form sequence

CD Castellon

2.00pts / match
Played5Wins3Drawn1Losses1Points10

SignalAway matches over 2.5: 3/5

Side-by-side

Matchup comparison

Current match outlook
28%
Win probability excluding draw
46%
4
Points from supplied form
10
1.49
Expected goals
1.74
HerculesCD Castellon
Signals and risk

What supports — and challenges — the call

Signals are kept separate from derived risk checks so the page never turns one trend into certainty.

Match signal

Market-led fallback leans AWAY

This is the main matchup observation to consider alongside the probabilities and recent form.

01Hercules signalAway unbeaten 4/5

This trend belongs to the home team and should be read alongside the probability table.

02CD Castellon signalAway matches over 2.5: 3/5

This trend belongs to the away team and does not override the independent market probabilities.

!Primary-call risk54% outside the selected call

The selected outcome can still fail. Draw probability alone is 26%.

Match questions

Hercules vs CD Castellon FAQ

What is the current prediction?

Current prediction: Away win · Projected score 1–2 · 46% selection probability.

What are the 1X2 probabilities?

Hercules win 28%,Draw 26%,CD Castellon win 46%。

Is this expected to be a high-scoring match?

Total expected goals 3.23 · Over 2.5 62% · Current selection Over