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INT Elite Club Friendlies · Final ·

Бавария Мюнхен vs Астон Вилла

Prediction review

Хозяева form
Final score2–1Прогноз 2–1
Гости form
Победа хозяев45%
Ничья22%
Победа гостей33%
Market-based forecastПобеда хозяевTier B · 45% selection probability
Prediction Угадано
Market-based forecast · Tier B

Match prediction

Market-led fallback leans HOME Compare the forecast, reference prices, form and key match signals below.

Primary callПобеда хозяев45% selection probability
Projected score2–1Бавария МюнхенАстон Вилла
Expected goals2.96Balanced match profile
Goals 2.5Больше57% for the selected side
Обе забьютДа59% for the selected side
Expected corners8.5Меньше 9.5
Market dashboard

Every available prediction

Each row shows the selection and probability for that market. Correct-score and corner projections do not include standalone probabilities.

MarketВыборВероятностьСправедливый коэффициент
45% / 22% / 33%Исход матчаПобеда хозяев45%2.22
Derived from 1X2 · excludes draw (22.4%)Двойной шанс1277.6%1.29
Больше 57% · Меньше 43%Goals 2.5Больше57%1.75
Да 59% · Нет 41%Обе забьютДа59%1.69
2.96 total expected goalsТочный счёт2–1
8.5 expected match cornersУгловыеМеньше 9.5
Price comparison

Reference market used for this forecast

This market-based forecast is aligned to the normalized pre-match 1X2 reference. The comparison is contextual and makes no betting-edge claim.

Displayed margin10.1%Forecast sourceMarket-basedEdge claimНет
OutcomeПрогнозСправедливый коэффициентReference oddsNormalized marketDifference
Бавария Мюнхен win45%2.222.0045.4%
Ничья22%4.554.1022.2%
Астон Вилла win33%3.032.8032.4%

Reference odds are the pre-match prices stored with this forecast; later market movements do not change the original review.

Scoring projection

Expected-goals split

Expected goals show how the projected scoring total is divided between the two teams.

Бавария Мюнхен1.60

Хозяева share of expected goals 54.1%

Total expected goals2.96Balanced

Dedicated goals model: Больше 57% · Меньше 43%

Астон Вилла1.36

Гости share of expected goals 45.9%

Projected score2–1BTTS splitДа 59% · Нет 41%Match profileBalanced
Recent form

Five-result form summary

The five displayed results are summarized into wins, draws, losses and points for a quick comparison.

Хозяева-context · form sequence

Бавария Мюнхен

2.25pts / match
Сыграно4Wins3Drawn0Losses1Баллы9

SignalХозяева won 3/4

Гости-context · form sequence

Астон Вилла

1.80pts / match
Сыграно5Wins3Drawn0Losses2Баллы9

SignalХозяева matches over 2.5: 4/4

Side-by-side

Matchup comparison

Current match outlook
45%
Выигрыш probability excluding draw
33%
9
Points from supplied form
9
1.60
Expected goals
1.36
Бавария МюнхенАстон Вилла
Signals and risk

What supports — and challenges — the call

Signals are kept separate from derived risk checks so the page never turns one trend into certainty.

Match signal

Market-led fallback leans HOME

This is the main matchup observation to consider alongside the probabilities and recent form.

01Бавария Мюнхен signalХозяева won 3/4

This trend belongs to the home team and should be read alongside the probability table.

02Астон Вилла signalХозяева matches over 2.5: 4/4

This trend belongs to the away team and does not override the independent market probabilities.

!Primary-call risk55% outside the selected call

The selected outcome can still fail. Ничья probability alone is 22%.

Match questions

Бавария Мюнхен vs Астон Вилла FAQ

What is the current prediction?

Current prediction: Победа хозяев · Projected score 2–1 · 45% selection probability.

What are the 1X2 probabilities?

Бавария Мюнхен выигрыш 45%,Ничья 22%,Астон Вилла выигрыш 33%。

Is this expected to be a high-scoring match?

Total expected goals 2.96 · ТБ 2.5 57% · Current selection Больше