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INT Elite Club Friendlies · Final ·

Bayern München vs Aston Villa

Prediction review

Heim form
Final score2–1Prognose 2–1
Auswärts form
Heimsieg45%
Unentschieden22%
Auswärtssieg33%
Market-based forecastHeimsiegTier B · 45% selection probability
Prediction Gewonnen
Market-based forecast · Tier B

Match prediction

Market-led fallback leans HOME Compare the forecast, reference prices, form and key match signals below.

Primary callHeimsieg45% selection probability
Projected score2–1Bayern MünchenAston Villa
Expected goals2.96Balanced match profile
Goals 2.5Über57% for the selected side
Beide Teams treffenJa59% for the selected side
Expected corners8.5Unter 9.5
Market dashboard

Every available prediction

Each row shows the selection and probability for that market. Correct-score and corner projections do not include standalone probabilities.

MarketAuswahlWahrscheinlichkeitFaire Quote
45% / 22% / 33%SpielergebnisHeimsieg45%2.22
Derived from 1X2 · excludes draw (22.4%)Doppelte Chance1277.6%1.29
Über 57% · Unter 43%Goals 2.5Über57%1.75
Ja 59% · Nein 41%Beide Teams treffenJa59%1.69
2.96 total expected goalsGenaues Ergebnis2–1
8.5 expected match cornersEckenUnter 9.5
Price comparison

Reference market used for this forecast

This market-based forecast is aligned to the normalized pre-match 1X2 reference. The comparison is contextual and makes no betting-edge claim.

Displayed margin10.1%Forecast sourceMarket-basedEdge claimKeine
OutcomePrognoseFaire QuoteReference oddsNormalized marketDifference
Bayern München win45%2.222.0045.4%
Unentschieden22%4.554.1022.2%
Aston Villa win33%3.032.8032.4%

Reference odds are the pre-match prices stored with this forecast; later market movements do not change the original review.

Scoring projection

Expected-goals split

Expected goals show how the projected scoring total is divided between the two teams.

Bayern München1.60

Heim share of expected goals 54.1%

Total expected goals2.96Balanced

Dedicated goals model: Über 57% · Unter 43%

Aston Villa1.36

Auswärts share of expected goals 45.9%

Projected score2–1BTTS splitJa 59% · Nein 41%Match profileBalanced
Recent form

Five-result form summary

The five displayed results are summarized into wins, draws, losses and points for a quick comparison.

Heim-context · form sequence

Bayern München

2.25pts / match
Gespielt4Wins3Drawn0Losses1Punkte9

SignalHeim won 3/4

Auswärts-context · form sequence

Aston Villa

1.80pts / match
Gespielt5Wins3Drawn0Losses2Punkte9

SignalHeim matches over 2.5: 4/4

Side-by-side

Matchup comparison

Current match outlook
45%
Gewinn probability excluding draw
33%
9
Points from supplied form
9
1.60
Expected goals
1.36
Bayern MünchenAston Villa
Signals and risk

What supports — and challenges — the call

Signals are kept separate from derived risk checks so the page never turns one trend into certainty.

Match signal

Market-led fallback leans HOME

This is the main matchup observation to consider alongside the probabilities and recent form.

01Bayern München signalHeim won 3/4

This trend belongs to the home team and should be read alongside the probability table.

02Aston Villa signalHeim matches over 2.5: 4/4

This trend belongs to the away team and does not override the independent market probabilities.

!Primary-call risk55% outside the selected call

The selected outcome can still fail. Unentschieden probability alone is 22%.

Match questions

Bayern München vs Aston Villa FAQ

What is the current prediction?

Current prediction: Heimsieg · Projected score 2–1 · 45% selection probability.

What are the 1X2 probabilities?

Bayern München Gewinn 45%,Unentschieden 22%,Aston Villa Gewinn 33%。

Is this expected to be a high-scoring match?

Total expected goals 2.96 · Über 2.5 57% · Current selection Über