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EUR UEFA Champions League - Calificari · Meci ·

Lyon vs Fenerbahce

Market-based forecast,stats and analysis

Gazde form
Projected score2–12.71 expected goals
Oaspeți form
Victorie gazde49%
Egal26%
Victorie oaspeți25%
Market-based forecastVictorie gazdeTier B · 49% selection probability
Market-based forecast · Tier B

Match prediction

Market-led fallback leans HOME Compare the forecast, reference prices, form and key match signals below.

Primary callVictorie gazde49% selection probability
Projected score2–1LyonFenerbahce
Expected goals2.71Balanced match profile
Goals 2.5Peste51% for the selected side
Ambele echipe marcheazăDa54% for the selected side
Expected corners9.2Sub 9.5
Market dashboard

Every available prediction

Each row shows the selection and probability for that market. Correct-score and corner projections do not include standalone probabilities.

MarketSelecțieProbabilitateCotă corectă
49% / 26% / 25%Rezultatul meciuluiVictorie gazde49%2.04
Derived from 1X2 · excludes Fenerbahce win (24.7%)Șansă dublă1X75.3%1.33
Peste 51% · Sub 49%Goals 2.5Peste51%1.96
Da 54% · Nu 46%Ambele echipe marcheazăDa54%1.85
2.71 total expected goalsScor corect2–1
9.2 expected match cornersCornereSub 9.5
Price comparison

Reference market used for this forecast

This market-based forecast is aligned to the normalized pre-match 1X2 reference. The comparison is contextual and makes no betting-edge claim.

Displayed margin9.7%Forecast sourceMarket-basedEdge claimNiciuna
OutcomePredicțieCotă corectăReference oddsNormalized marketDifference
Lyon win49%2.041.8549.3%
Egal26%3.853.5026.1%
Fenerbahce win25%4.003.7024.6%

Reference odds are the pre-match prices stored with this forecast; later market movements do not change the original review.

Scoring projection

Expected-goals split

Expected goals show how the projected scoring total is divided between the two teams.

Lyon1.63

Gazde share of expected goals 60.1%

Total expected goals2.71Balanced

Dedicated goals model: Peste 51% · Sub 49%

Fenerbahce1.08

Oaspeți share of expected goals 39.9%

Projected score2–1BTTS splitDa 54% · Nu 46%Match profileBalanced
Recent form

Five-result form summary

The five displayed results are summarized into wins, draws, losses and points for a quick comparison.

Gazde-context · form sequence

Lyon

2.00pts / match
Jucate5Wins3Drawn1Losses1Puncte10

SignalGazde unbeaten 4/5

Oaspeți-context · form sequence

Fenerbahce

2.00pts / match
Jucate5Wins3Drawn1Losses1Puncte10

SignalGazde matches over 2.5: 3/5

Side-by-side

Matchup comparison

Current match outlook
49%
Câștig probability excluding draw
25%
10
Points from supplied form
10
1.63
Expected goals
1.08
LyonFenerbahce
Signals and risk

What supports — and challenges — the call

Signals are kept separate from derived risk checks so the page never turns one trend into certainty.

Match signal

Market-led fallback leans HOME

This is the main matchup observation to consider alongside the probabilities and recent form.

01Lyon signalGazde unbeaten 4/5

This trend belongs to the home team and should be read alongside the probability table.

02Fenerbahce signalGazde matches over 2.5: 3/5

This trend belongs to the away team and does not override the independent market probabilities.

!Primary-call risk51% outside the selected call

The selected outcome can still fail. Egal probability alone is 26%.

Match questions

Lyon vs Fenerbahce FAQ

What is the current prediction?

Current prediction: Victorie gazde · Projected score 2–1 · 49% selection probability.

What are the 1X2 probabilities?

Lyon câștig 49%,Egal 26%,Fenerbahce câștig 25%。

Is this expected to be a high-scoring match?

Total expected goals 2.71 · Peste 2.5 51% · Current selection Peste