Market dashboard
Every available prediction
Each row shows the selection and probability for that market. Correct-score and corner projections do not include standalone probabilities.
MarketSelectionProbabilityFair odds
48% / 27% / 25%Match resultHome win48%2.08
Derived from 1X2 · excludes Fenerbahce win (25.3%)Double chance1X74.7%1.34
Over 50% · Under 50%Goals 2.5Over50%2.00
Yes 54% · No 46%Both teams scoreYes54%1.85
2.71 total expected goalsCorrect score2–1——
9.2 expected match cornersCornersUnder 9.5——
Price comparison
Reference market used for this forecast
This market-based forecast is aligned to the normalized pre-match 1X2 reference. The comparison is contextual and makes no betting-edge claim.
Displayed margin9.8%Forecast sourceMarket-basedEdge claimNone
OutcomeForecastFair oddsReference oddsNormalized marketDifference
Lyon win48%2.081.9047.9%—
Draw27%3.703.4026.8%—
Fenerbahce win25%4.003.6025.3%—
Reference odds are the pre-match prices stored with this forecast; later market movements do not change the original review.
Scoring projection
Expected-goals split
Expected goals show how the projected scoring total is divided between the two teams.
Home share of expected goals 59.4%
Total expected goals2.71Balanced
Dedicated goals model: Over 50% · Under 50%
Away share of expected goals 40.6%
Projected score2–1BTTS splitYes 54% · No 46%Match profileBalanced
Recent form
Five-result form summary
The five displayed results are summarized into wins, draws, losses and points for a quick comparison.
Home-context · form sequence
2.00pts / matchLyon
WDWLW
Played5Wins3Drawn1Losses1Points10
SignalHome unbeaten 4/5
Away-context · form sequence
2.00pts / matchFenerbahce
WDLWW
Played5Wins3Drawn1Losses1Points10
SignalHome matches over 2.5: 3/5
Side-by-side
Current match outlookMatchup comparison
48%
Win probability excluding draw
25%10
Points from supplied form
101.61
Expected goals
1.10LyonFenerbahce
Signals and risk
What supports — and challenges — the call
Signals are kept separate from derived risk checks so the page never turns one trend into certainty.
Market-led fallback leans HOME
This is the main matchup observation to consider alongside the probabilities and recent form.
This trend belongs to the home team and should be read alongside the probability table.
This trend belongs to the away team and does not override the independent market probabilities.
The selected outcome can still fail. Draw probability alone is 27%.
Match questions
Lyon vs Fenerbahce FAQ
What is the current prediction?
Current prediction: Home win · Projected score 2–1 · 48% selection probability.
What are the 1X2 probabilities?
Lyon win 48%，Draw 27%，Fenerbahce win 25%。
Is this expected to be a high-scoring match?
Total expected goals 2.71 · Over 2.5 50% · Current selection Over。