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HRV Croatia - HNL · Meci ·

NK Osijek vs Slaven Belupo

Full model forecast,stats and analysis

Gazde form
Projected score1–12.38 expected goals
Oaspeți form
Victorie gazde55%
Egal25%
Victorie oaspeți21%
Full model forecastVictorie gazdeTier A · 55% selection probability
Full model forecast · Tier A

Match prediction

Model and market agree on HOME Compare the forecast, reference prices, form and key match signals below.

Primary callVictorie gazde55% selection probability
Projected score1–1NK OsijekSlaven Belupo
Expected goals2.38Balanced match profile
Goals 2.5Sub58% for the selected side
Ambele echipe marcheazăNu52% for the selected side
Expected corners9.4Sub 9.5
Market dashboard

Every available prediction

Each row shows the selection and probability for that market. Correct-score and corner projections do not include standalone probabilities.

MarketSelecțieProbabilitateCotă corectă
55% / 25% / 21%Rezultatul meciuluiVictorie gazde55%1.82
Derived from 1X2 · excludes Slaven Belupo win (20.6%)Șansă dublă1X79.4%1.26
Peste 42% · Sub 58%Goals 2.5Sub58%1.72
Da 48% · Nu 52%Ambele echipe marcheazăNu52%1.92
2.38 total expected goalsScor corect1–1
9.4 expected match cornersCornereSub 9.5
Price comparison

Published forecast vs reference market

Reference odds are converted to normalized probabilities. The gap is descriptive and is not a claim of guaranteed value.

Displayed margin11.7%Largest probability gapSlaven Belupo winDifference+1.1 pp
OutcomePredicțieCotă corectăReference oddsNormalized marketDifference
NK Osijek win55%1.821.6055.9%-0.9 pp
Egal25%4.003.7024.2%+0.8 pp
Slaven Belupo win21%4.764.5019.9%+1.1 pp

Reference odds are the pre-match prices stored with this forecast; later market movements do not change the original review.

Scoring projection

Expected-goals split

Expected goals show how the projected scoring total is divided between the two teams.

NK Osijek1.31

Gazde share of expected goals 55%

Total expected goals2.38Balanced

Dedicated goals model: Peste 42% · Sub 58%

Slaven Belupo1.07

Oaspeți share of expected goals 45%

Projected score1–1BTTS splitDa 48% · Nu 52%Match profileBalanced
Recent form

Five-result form summary

The five displayed results are summarized into wins, draws, losses and points for a quick comparison.

Gazde-context · form sequence

NK Osijek

1.80pts / match
Jucate5Wins3Drawn0Losses2Puncte9

SignalGazde won 3/5

Oaspeți-context · form sequence

Slaven Belupo

1.20pts / match
Jucate5Wins2Drawn0Losses3Puncte6

SignalGazde matches over 2.5: 3/5

Side-by-side

Matchup comparison

Current match outlook
55%
Câștig probability excluding draw
21%
9
Points from supplied form
6
1.31
Expected goals
1.07
NK OsijekSlaven Belupo
Signals and risk

What supports — and challenges — the call

Signals are kept separate from derived risk checks so the page never turns one trend into certainty.

Match signal

Model and market agree on HOME

This is the main matchup observation to consider alongside the probabilities and recent form.

01NK Osijek signalGazde won 3/5

This trend belongs to the home team and should be read alongside the probability table.

02Slaven Belupo signalGazde matches over 2.5: 3/5

This trend belongs to the away team and does not override the independent market probabilities.

!Primary-call risk45% outside the selected call

The selected outcome can still fail. Egal probability alone is 25%.

Match questions

NK Osijek vs Slaven Belupo FAQ

What is the current prediction?

Current prediction: Victorie gazde · Projected score 1–1 · 55% selection probability.

What are the 1X2 probabilities?

NK Osijek câștig 55%,Egal 25%,Slaven Belupo câștig 21%。

Is this expected to be a high-scoring match?

Total expected goals 2.38 · Peste 2.5 42% · Current selection Sub