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SVN Slovenia 2. SNL · Meci ·

ND Ilirija Ljubljana vs ND Dravinja

Full model forecast,stats and analysis

Gazde form
Projected score1–12.66 expected goals
Oaspeți form
Victorie gazde40%
Egal26%
Victorie oaspeți34%
Full model forecastVictorie gazdeTier A · 40% selection probability
Full model forecast · Tier A

Match prediction

Model and market agree on HOME Compare the forecast, reference prices, form and key match signals below.

Primary callVictorie gazde40% selection probability
Projected score1–1ND Ilirija LjubljanaND Dravinja
Expected goals2.66Balanced match profile
Goals 2.5Sub50% for the selected side
Ambele echipe marcheazăDa54% for the selected side
Expected corners9.2Sub 9.5
Market dashboard

Every available prediction

Each row shows the selection and probability for that market. Correct-score and corner projections do not include standalone probabilities.

MarketSelecțieProbabilitateCotă corectă
40% / 26% / 34%Rezultatul meciuluiVictorie gazde40%2.50
Derived from 1X2 · excludes draw (26.3%)Șansă dublă1273.7%1.36
Peste 50% · Sub 50%Goals 2.5Sub50%2.00
Da 54% · Nu 46%Ambele echipe marcheazăDa54%1.85
2.66 total expected goalsScor corect1–1
9.2 expected match cornersCornereSub 9.5
Price comparison

Published forecast vs reference market

Reference odds are converted to normalized probabilities. The gap is descriptive and is not a claim of guaranteed value.

Displayed margin11.9%Largest probability gapND Ilirija Ljubljana winDifference+0.3 pp
OutcomePredicțieCotă corectăReference oddsNormalized marketDifference
ND Ilirija Ljubljana win40%2.502.2539.7%+0.3 pp
Egal26%3.853.4026.3%-0.3 pp
ND Dravinja win34%2.942.6334%0.0 pp

Reference odds are the pre-match prices stored with this forecast; later market movements do not change the original review.

Scoring projection

Expected-goals split

Expected goals show how the projected scoring total is divided between the two teams.

ND Ilirija Ljubljana1.49

Gazde share of expected goals 56%

Total expected goals2.66Balanced

Dedicated goals model: Peste 50% · Sub 50%

ND Dravinja1.17

Oaspeți share of expected goals 44%

Projected score1–1BTTS splitDa 54% · Nu 46%Match profileBalanced
Recent form

Five-result form summary

The five displayed results are summarized into wins, draws, losses and points for a quick comparison.

Gazde-context · form sequence

ND Ilirija Ljubljana

0.40pts / match
Jucate5Wins0Drawn2Losses3Puncte2

SignalGazde matches over 2.5: 3/5

Oaspeți-context · form sequence

ND Dravinja

1.00pts / match
Jucate5Wins1Drawn2Losses2Puncte5

SignalGazde failed to score: 2/5

Side-by-side

Matchup comparison

Current match outlook
40%
Câștig probability excluding draw
34%
2
Points from supplied form
5
1.49
Expected goals
1.17
ND Ilirija LjubljanaND Dravinja
Signals and risk

What supports — and challenges — the call

Signals are kept separate from derived risk checks so the page never turns one trend into certainty.

Match signal

Model and market agree on HOME

This is the main matchup observation to consider alongside the probabilities and recent form.

01ND Ilirija Ljubljana signalGazde matches over 2.5: 3/5

This trend belongs to the home team and should be read alongside the probability table.

02ND Dravinja signalGazde failed to score: 2/5

This trend belongs to the away team and does not override the independent market probabilities.

!Primary-call risk60% outside the selected call

The selected outcome can still fail. Egal probability alone is 26%.

Match questions

ND Ilirija Ljubljana vs ND Dravinja FAQ

What is the current prediction?

Current prediction: Victorie gazde · Projected score 1–1 · 40% selection probability.

What are the 1X2 probabilities?

ND Ilirija Ljubljana câștig 40%,Egal 26%,ND Dravinja câștig 34%。

Is this expected to be a high-scoring match?

Total expected goals 2.66 · Peste 2.5 50% · Current selection Sub