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PRY Paraguay - Division Intermedia · Meci ·

Sportivo Carapegua vs Fernando de la Mora

Full model forecast,stats and analysis

Gazde form
Projected score1–12.79 expected goals
Oaspeți form
Victorie gazde36%
Egal28%
Victorie oaspeți35%
Full model forecastVictorie gazdeTier A · 36% selection probability
Full model forecast · Tier A

Match prediction

Calibrated Dixon-Coles leans HOME Compare the forecast probabilities, fair prices, form and key match signals below.

Primary callVictorie gazde36% selection probability
Projected score1–1Sportivo CarapeguaFernando de la Mora
Expected goals2.79Balanced match profile
Goals 2.5Peste53% for the selected side
Ambele echipe marcheazăDa57% for the selected side
Expected corners8.1Sub 9.5
Market dashboard

Every available prediction

Each row shows the selection and probability for that market. Correct-score and corner projections do not include standalone probabilities.

MarketSelecțieProbabilitateCotă corectă
36% / 28% / 35%Rezultatul meciuluiVictorie gazde36%2.78
Derived from 1X2 · excludes draw (28.4%)Șansă dublă1271.6%1.40
Peste 53% · Sub 47%Goals 2.5Peste53%1.89
Da 57% · Nu 43%Ambele echipe marcheazăDa57%1.75
2.79 total expected goalsScor corect1–1
8.1 expected match cornersCornereSub 9.5
Probability view

Forecast probabilities and fair odds

Nu snapshot-bound 1X2 price was available for this forecast, so this page does not show a market comparison or probability-gap claim.

OutcomeForecast probabilityCotă corectă
Sportivo Carapegua win36%2.78
Egal28%3.57
Fernando de la Mora win35%2.86

Fair odds are calculated directly from the published forecast probabilities and are not bookmaker prices.

Scoring projection

Expected-goals split

Expected goals show how the projected scoring total is divided between the two teams.

Sportivo Carapegua1.41

Gazde share of expected goals 50.5%

Total expected goals2.79Balanced

Dedicated goals model: Peste 53% · Sub 47%

Fernando de la Mora1.38

Oaspeți share of expected goals 49.5%

Projected score1–1BTTS splitDa 57% · Nu 43%Match profileBalanced
Recent form

Five-result form summary

The five displayed results are summarized into wins, draws, losses and points for a quick comparison.

Gazde-context · form sequence

Sportivo Carapegua

1.60pts / match
Jucate5Wins2Drawn2Losses1Puncte8

SignalGazde unbeaten 4/5

Oaspeți-context · form sequence

Fernando de la Mora

1.40pts / match
Jucate5Wins1Drawn4Losses0Puncte7

SignalOaspeți unbeaten 5/5

Side-by-side

Matchup comparison

Current match outlook
36%
Câștig probability excluding draw
35%
8
Points from supplied form
7
1.41
Expected goals
1.38
Sportivo CarapeguaFernando de la Mora
Signals and risk

What supports — and challenges — the call

Signals are kept separate from derived risk checks so the page never turns one trend into certainty.

Match signal

Calibrated Dixon-Coles leans HOME

This is the main matchup observation to consider alongside the probabilities and recent form.

01Sportivo Carapegua signalGazde unbeaten 4/5

This trend belongs to the home team and should be read alongside the probability table.

02Fernando de la Mora signalOaspeți unbeaten 5/5

This trend belongs to the away team and does not override the independent market probabilities.

!Primary-call risk64% outside the selected call

The selected outcome can still fail. Egal probability alone is 28%.

Match questions

Sportivo Carapegua vs Fernando de la Mora FAQ

What is the current prediction?

Current prediction: Victorie gazde · Projected score 1–1 · 36% selection probability.

What are the 1X2 probabilities?

Sportivo Carapegua câștig 36%,Egal 28%,Fernando de la Mora câștig 35%。

Is this expected to be a high-scoring match?

Total expected goals 2.79 · Peste 2.5 53% · Current selection Peste