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CRI Costa Rica - Primera Division · Round 18 ·

Puntarenas vs Deportivo Saprissa

Full model forecast,stats and analysis

Gazde form
Projected score1–23.24 expected goals
Oaspeți form
Victorie gazde30%
Egal26%
Victorie oaspeți44%
Full model forecastVictorie oaspețiTier A · 44% selection probability
Full model forecast · Tier A

Match prediction

Calibrated Dixon-Coles leans AWAY Compare the forecast probabilities, fair prices, form and key match signals below.

Primary callVictorie oaspeți44% selection probability
Projected score1–2PuntarenasDeportivo Saprissa
Expected goals3.24Deschide match profile
Goals 2.5Peste63% for the selected side
Ambele echipe marcheazăDa63% for the selected side
Expected corners9.9Peste 9.5
Market dashboard

Every available prediction

Each row shows the selection and probability for that market. Correct-score and corner projections do not include standalone probabilities.

MarketSelecțieProbabilitateCotă corectă
30% / 26% / 44%Rezultatul meciuluiVictorie oaspeți44%2.27
Derived from 1X2 · excludes draw (26.3%)Șansă dublă1273.7%1.36
Peste 63% · Sub 37%Goals 2.5Peste63%1.59
Da 63% · Nu 37%Ambele echipe marcheazăDa63%1.59
3.24 total expected goalsScor corect1–2
9.9 expected match cornersCornerePeste 9.5
Probability view

Forecast probabilities and fair odds

Nu snapshot-bound 1X2 price was available for this forecast, so this page does not show a market comparison or probability-gap claim.

OutcomeForecast probabilityCotă corectă
Puntarenas win30%3.33
Egal26%3.85
Deportivo Saprissa win44%2.27

Fair odds are calculated directly from the published forecast probabilities and are not bookmaker prices.

Scoring projection

Expected-goals split

Expected goals show how the projected scoring total is divided between the two teams.

Puntarenas1.36

Gazde share of expected goals 42%

Total expected goals3.24Deschide

Dedicated goals model: Peste 63% · Sub 37%

Deportivo Saprissa1.88

Oaspeți share of expected goals 58%

Projected score1–2BTTS splitDa 63% · Nu 37%Match profileDeschide
Recent form

Five-result form summary

The five displayed results are summarized into wins, draws, losses and points for a quick comparison.

Gazde-context · form sequence

Puntarenas

0.40pts / match
Jucate5Wins0Drawn2Losses3Puncte2

SignalGazde matches over 2.5: 3/5

Oaspeți-context · form sequence

Deportivo Saprissa

2.40pts / match
Jucate5Wins4Drawn0Losses1Puncte12

SignalOaspeți unbeaten 4/5

Side-by-side

Matchup comparison

Current match outlook
30%
Câștig probability excluding draw
44%
2
Points from supplied form
12
1.36
Expected goals
1.88
PuntarenasDeportivo Saprissa
Signals and risk

What supports — and challenges — the call

Signals are kept separate from derived risk checks so the page never turns one trend into certainty.

Match signal

Calibrated Dixon-Coles leans AWAY

This is the main matchup observation to consider alongside the probabilities and recent form.

01Puntarenas signalGazde matches over 2.5: 3/5

This trend belongs to the home team and should be read alongside the probability table.

02Deportivo Saprissa signalOaspeți unbeaten 4/5

This trend belongs to the away team and does not override the independent market probabilities.

!Primary-call risk56% outside the selected call

The selected outcome can still fail. Egal probability alone is 26%.

Match questions

Puntarenas vs Deportivo Saprissa FAQ

What is the current prediction?

Current prediction: Victorie oaspeți · Projected score 1–2 · 44% selection probability.

What are the 1X2 probabilities?

Puntarenas câștig 30%,Egal 26%,Deportivo Saprissa câștig 44%。

Is this expected to be a high-scoring match?

Total expected goals 3.24 · Peste 2.5 63% · Current selection Peste