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ITA Italia - Serie C - Grupa B · Meci ·

Livorno vs Torres

Full model forecast,stats and analysis

Gazde form
Projected score1–12.48 expected goals
Oaspeți form
Victorie gazde42%
Egal30%
Victorie oaspeți27%
Full model forecastVictorie gazdeTier A · 42% selection probability
Full model forecast · Tier A

Match prediction

Model and market agree on HOME Compare the forecast, reference prices, form and key match signals below.

Primary callVictorie gazde42% selection probability
Projected score1–1LivornoTorres
Expected goals2.48Balanced match profile
Goals 2.5Sub55% for the selected side
Ambele echipe marcheazăDa51% for the selected side
Expected corners8.0Sub 9.5
Market dashboard

Every available prediction

Each row shows the selection and probability for that market. Correct-score and corner projections do not include standalone probabilities.

MarketSelecțieProbabilitateCotă corectă
42% / 30% / 27%Rezultatul meciuluiVictorie gazde42%2.38
Derived from 1X2 · excludes Torres win (27.3%)Șansă dublă1X72.7%1.38
Peste 45% · Sub 55%Goals 2.5Sub55%1.82
Da 51% · Nu 49%Ambele echipe marcheazăDa51%1.96
2.48 total expected goalsScor corect1–1
8.0 expected match cornersCornereSub 9.5
Price comparison

Published forecast vs reference market

Reference odds are converted to normalized probabilities. The gap is descriptive and is not a claim of guaranteed value.

Displayed margin12.4%Largest probability gapDrawDifference-0.7 pp
OutcomePredicțieCotă corectăReference oddsNormalized marketDifference
Livorno win42%2.382.1042.4%-0.4 pp
Egal30%3.332.9030.7%-0.7 pp
Torres win27%3.703.3027%0.0 pp

Reference odds are the pre-match prices stored with this forecast; later market movements do not change the original review.

Scoring projection

Expected-goals split

Expected goals show how the projected scoring total is divided between the two teams.

Livorno1.34

Gazde share of expected goals 54%

Total expected goals2.48Balanced

Dedicated goals model: Peste 45% · Sub 55%

Torres1.14

Oaspeți share of expected goals 46%

Projected score1–1BTTS splitDa 51% · Nu 49%Match profileBalanced
Recent form

Five-result form summary

The five displayed results are summarized into wins, draws, losses and points for a quick comparison.

Gazde-context · form sequence

Livorno

1.20pts / match
Jucate5Wins2Drawn0Losses3Puncte6

SignalGazde clean sheets: 2/5

Oaspeți-context · form sequence

Torres

1.60pts / match
Jucate5Wins2Drawn2Losses1Puncte8

SignalOaspeți unbeaten 4/5

Side-by-side

Matchup comparison

Current match outlook
42%
Câștig probability excluding draw
27%
6
Points from supplied form
8
1.34
Expected goals
1.14
LivornoTorres
Signals and risk

What supports — and challenges — the call

Signals are kept separate from derived risk checks so the page never turns one trend into certainty.

Match signal

Model and market agree on HOME

This is the main matchup observation to consider alongside the probabilities and recent form.

01Livorno signalGazde clean sheets: 2/5

This trend belongs to the home team and should be read alongside the probability table.

02Torres signalOaspeți unbeaten 4/5

This trend belongs to the away team and does not override the independent market probabilities.

!Primary-call risk58% outside the selected call

The selected outcome can still fail. Egal probability alone is 30%.

Match questions

Livorno vs Torres FAQ

What is the current prediction?

Current prediction: Victorie gazde · Projected score 1–1 · 42% selection probability.

What are the 1X2 probabilities?

Livorno câștig 42%,Egal 30%,Torres câștig 27%。

Is this expected to be a high-scoring match?

Total expected goals 2.48 · Peste 2.5 45% · Current selection Sub