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ITA Włochy - Serie C - Grupa B · Mecz ·

Livorno vs Torres

Full model forecast,stats and analysis

Gospodarze form
Projected score1–12.48 expected goals
Goście form
Wygrana gospodarzy42%
Remis30%
Wygrana gości27%
Full model forecastWygrana gospodarzyTier A · 42% selection probability
Full model forecast · Tier A

Match prediction

Model and market agree on HOME Compare the forecast, reference prices, form and key match signals below.

Primary callWygrana gospodarzy42% selection probability
Projected score1–1LivornoTorres
Expected goals2.48Balanced match profile
Goals 2.5Poniżej55% for the selected side
Obie drużyny strzeląTak51% for the selected side
Expected corners8.0Poniżej 9.5
Market dashboard

Every available prediction

Each row shows the selection and probability for that market. Correct-score and corner projections do not include standalone probabilities.

MarketWybórPrawdopodobieństwoUczciwy kurs
42% / 30% / 27%Wynik meczuWygrana gospodarzy42%2.38
Derived from 1X2 · excludes Torres win (27.3%)Podwójna szansa1X72.7%1.38
Powyżej 45% · Poniżej 55%Goals 2.5Poniżej55%1.82
Tak 51% · Nie 49%Obie drużyny strzeląTak51%1.96
2.48 total expected goalsDokładny wynik1–1
8.0 expected match cornersRożnePoniżej 9.5
Price comparison

Published forecast vs reference market

Reference odds are converted to normalized probabilities. The gap is descriptive and is not a claim of guaranteed value.

Displayed margin12.4%Largest probability gapDrawDifference-0.7 pp
OutcomePrognozaUczciwy kursReference oddsNormalized marketDifference
Livorno win42%2.382.1042.4%-0.4 pp
Remis30%3.332.9030.7%-0.7 pp
Torres win27%3.703.3027%0.0 pp

Reference odds are the pre-match prices stored with this forecast; later market movements do not change the original review.

Scoring projection

Expected-goals split

Expected goals show how the projected scoring total is divided between the two teams.

Livorno1.34

Gospodarze share of expected goals 54%

Total expected goals2.48Balanced

Dedicated goals model: Powyżej 45% · Poniżej 55%

Torres1.14

Goście share of expected goals 46%

Projected score1–1BTTS splitTak 51% · Nie 49%Match profileBalanced
Recent form

Five-result form summary

The five displayed results are summarized into wins, draws, losses and points for a quick comparison.

Gospodarze-context · form sequence

Livorno

1.20pts / match
Rozegrane5Wins2Drawn0Losses3Punkty6

SignalGospodarze clean sheets: 2/5

Goście-context · form sequence

Torres

1.60pts / match
Rozegrane5Wins2Drawn2Losses1Punkty8

SignalGoście unbeaten 4/5

Side-by-side

Matchup comparison

Current match outlook
42%
Wygrana probability excluding draw
27%
6
Points from supplied form
8
1.34
Expected goals
1.14
LivornoTorres
Signals and risk

What supports — and challenges — the call

Signals are kept separate from derived risk checks so the page never turns one trend into certainty.

Match signal

Model and market agree on HOME

This is the main matchup observation to consider alongside the probabilities and recent form.

01Livorno signalGospodarze clean sheets: 2/5

This trend belongs to the home team and should be read alongside the probability table.

02Torres signalGoście unbeaten 4/5

This trend belongs to the away team and does not override the independent market probabilities.

!Primary-call risk58% outside the selected call

The selected outcome can still fail. Remis probability alone is 30%.

Match questions

Livorno vs Torres FAQ

What is the current prediction?

Current prediction: Wygrana gospodarzy · Projected score 1–1 · 42% selection probability.

What are the 1X2 probabilities?

Livorno wygrana 42%,Remis 30%,Torres wygrana 27%。

Is this expected to be a high-scoring match?

Total expected goals 2.48 · Powyżej 2.5 45% · Current selection Poniżej