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ENG Anglia - Cupa EFL · Meci ·

QPR vs Millwall

Baseline forecast,stats and analysis

Gazde form
Projected score1–12.70 expected goals
Oaspeți form
Victorie gazde37%
Egal26%
Victorie oaspeți37%
Baseline forecastVictorie oaspețiTier C · 37% selection probability
Baseline forecast · Tier C

Match prediction

Low-confidence goal-prior fallback leans AWAY Compare the forecast probabilities, fair prices, form and key match signals below.

Primary callVictorie oaspeți37% selection probability
Projected score1–1QPRMillwall
Expected goals2.70Balanced match profile
Goals 2.5Peste51% for the selected side
Ambele echipe marcheazăDa55% for the selected side
Expected corners10.2Peste 9.5
Market dashboard

Every available prediction

Each row shows the selection and probability for that market. Correct-score and corner projections do not include standalone probabilities.

MarketSelecțieProbabilitateCotă corectă
37% / 26% / 37%Rezultatul meciuluiVictorie oaspeți37%2.70
Derived from 1X2 · excludes draw (25.8%)Șansă dublă1274.2%1.35
Peste 51% · Sub 49%Goals 2.5Peste51%1.96
Da 55% · Nu 45%Ambele echipe marcheazăDa55%1.82
2.70 total expected goalsScor corect1–1
10.2 expected match cornersCornerePeste 9.5
Probability view

Forecast probabilities and fair odds

Nu snapshot-bound 1X2 price was available for this forecast, so this page does not show a market comparison or probability-gap claim.

OutcomeForecast probabilityCotă corectă
QPR win37%2.70
Egal26%3.85
Millwall win37%2.70

Fair odds are calculated directly from the published forecast probabilities and are not bookmaker prices.

Scoring projection

Expected-goals split

Expected goals show how the projected scoring total is divided between the two teams.

QPR1.34

Gazde share of expected goals 49.6%

Total expected goals2.70Balanced

Dedicated goals model: Peste 51% · Sub 49%

Millwall1.36

Oaspeți share of expected goals 50.4%

Projected score1–1BTTS splitDa 55% · Nu 45%Match profileBalanced
Recent form

Five-result form summary

The five displayed results are summarized into wins, draws, losses and points for a quick comparison.

Gazde-context · form sequence

QPR

1.40pts / match
Jucate5Wins2Drawn1Losses2Puncte7

SignalGazde matches over 2.5: 4/5

Oaspeți-context · form sequence

Millwall

1.40pts / match
Jucate5Wins2Drawn1Losses2Puncte7

SignalGazde failed to score: 2/5

Side-by-side

Matchup comparison

Current match outlook
37%
Câștig probability excluding draw
37%
7
Points from supplied form
7
1.34
Expected goals
1.36
QPRMillwall
Signals and risk

What supports — and challenges — the call

Signals are kept separate from derived risk checks so the page never turns one trend into certainty.

Match signal

Low-confidence goal-prior fallback leans AWAY

This is the main matchup observation to consider alongside the probabilities and recent form.

01QPR signalGazde matches over 2.5: 4/5

This trend belongs to the home team and should be read alongside the probability table.

02Millwall signalGazde failed to score: 2/5

This trend belongs to the away team and does not override the independent market probabilities.

!Primary-call risk63% outside the selected call

The selected outcome can still fail. Egal probability alone is 26%.

Match questions

QPR vs Millwall FAQ

What is the current prediction?

Current prediction: Victorie oaspeți · Projected score 1–1 · 37% selection probability.

What are the 1X2 probabilities?

QPR câștig 37%,Egal 26%,Millwall câștig 37%。

Is this expected to be a high-scoring match?

Total expected goals 2.70 · Peste 2.5 51% · Current selection Peste