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ENG England - EFL Cup · Spiel ·

QPR vs Millwall

Baseline forecast,stats and analysis

Heim form
Projected score1–12.70 expected goals
Auswärts form
Heimsieg37%
Unentschieden26%
Auswärtssieg37%
Baseline forecastAuswärtssiegTier C · 37% selection probability
Baseline forecast · Tier C

Match prediction

Low-confidence goal-prior fallback leans AWAY Compare the forecast probabilities, fair prices, form and key match signals below.

Primary callAuswärtssieg37% selection probability
Projected score1–1QPRMillwall
Expected goals2.70Balanced match profile
Goals 2.5Über51% for the selected side
Beide Teams treffenJa55% for the selected side
Expected corners10.2Über 9.5
Market dashboard

Every available prediction

Each row shows the selection and probability for that market. Correct-score and corner projections do not include standalone probabilities.

MarketAuswahlWahrscheinlichkeitFaire Quote
37% / 26% / 37%SpielergebnisAuswärtssieg37%2.70
Derived from 1X2 · excludes draw (25.8%)Doppelte Chance1274.2%1.35
Über 51% · Unter 49%Goals 2.5Über51%1.96
Ja 55% · Nein 45%Beide Teams treffenJa55%1.82
2.70 total expected goalsGenaues Ergebnis1–1
10.2 expected match cornersEckenÜber 9.5
Probability view

Forecast probabilities and fair odds

Nein snapshot-bound 1X2 price was available for this forecast, so this page does not show a market comparison or probability-gap claim.

OutcomeForecast probabilityFaire Quote
QPR win37%2.70
Unentschieden26%3.85
Millwall win37%2.70

Fair odds are calculated directly from the published forecast probabilities and are not bookmaker prices.

Scoring projection

Expected-goals split

Expected goals show how the projected scoring total is divided between the two teams.

QPR1.34

Heim share of expected goals 49.6%

Total expected goals2.70Balanced

Dedicated goals model: Über 51% · Unter 49%

Millwall1.36

Auswärts share of expected goals 50.4%

Projected score1–1BTTS splitJa 55% · Nein 45%Match profileBalanced
Recent form

Five-result form summary

The five displayed results are summarized into wins, draws, losses and points for a quick comparison.

Heim-context · form sequence

QPR

1.40pts / match
Gespielt5Wins2Drawn1Losses2Punkte7

SignalHeim matches over 2.5: 4/5

Auswärts-context · form sequence

Millwall

1.40pts / match
Gespielt5Wins2Drawn1Losses2Punkte7

SignalHeim failed to score: 2/5

Side-by-side

Matchup comparison

Current match outlook
37%
Gewinn probability excluding draw
37%
7
Points from supplied form
7
1.34
Expected goals
1.36
QPRMillwall
Signals and risk

What supports — and challenges — the call

Signals are kept separate from derived risk checks so the page never turns one trend into certainty.

Match signal

Low-confidence goal-prior fallback leans AWAY

This is the main matchup observation to consider alongside the probabilities and recent form.

01QPR signalHeim matches over 2.5: 4/5

This trend belongs to the home team and should be read alongside the probability table.

02Millwall signalHeim failed to score: 2/5

This trend belongs to the away team and does not override the independent market probabilities.

!Primary-call risk63% outside the selected call

The selected outcome can still fail. Unentschieden probability alone is 26%.

Match questions

QPR vs Millwall FAQ

What is the current prediction?

Current prediction: Auswärtssieg · Projected score 1–1 · 37% selection probability.

What are the 1X2 probabilities?

QPR Gewinn 37%,Unentschieden 26%,Millwall Gewinn 37%。

Is this expected to be a high-scoring match?

Total expected goals 2.70 · Über 2.5 51% · Current selection Über