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IRL Republica Irlanda - First Division · Meci ·

Cork City vs Kerry FC

Full model forecast,stats and analysis

Gazde form
Projected score2–12.91 expected goals
Oaspeți form
Victorie gazde64%
Egal22%
Victorie oaspeți14%
Full model forecastVictorie gazdeTier A · 64% selection probability
Full model forecast · Tier A

Match prediction

Model and market agree on HOME Compare the forecast, reference prices, form and key match signals below.

Primary callVictorie gazde64% selection probability
Projected score2–1Cork CityKerry FC
Expected goals2.91Balanced match profile
Goals 2.5Peste56% for the selected side
Ambele echipe marcheazăNu54% for the selected side
Expected corners9.7Peste 9.5
Market dashboard

Every available prediction

Each row shows the selection and probability for that market. Correct-score and corner projections do not include standalone probabilities.

MarketSelecțieProbabilitateCotă corectă
64% / 22% / 14%Rezultatul meciuluiVictorie gazde64%1.56
Derived from 1X2 · excludes Kerry FC win (14%)Șansă dublă1X86%1.16
Peste 56% · Sub 44%Goals 2.5Peste56%1.79
Da 46% · Nu 54%Ambele echipe marcheazăNu54%1.85
2.91 total expected goalsScor corect2–1
9.7 expected match cornersCornerePeste 9.5
Price comparison

Published forecast vs reference market

Reference odds are converted to normalized probabilities. The gap is descriptive and is not a claim of guaranteed value.

Displayed margin11.4%Largest probability gapCork City winDifference+0.8 pp
OutcomePredicțieCotă corectăReference oddsNormalized marketDifference
Cork City win64%1.561.4263.2%+0.8 pp
Egal22%4.554.0022.4%-0.4 pp
Kerry FC win14%7.146.2514.4%-0.4 pp

Reference odds are the pre-match prices stored with this forecast; later market movements do not change the original review.

Scoring projection

Expected-goals split

Expected goals show how the projected scoring total is divided between the two teams.

Cork City2.20

Gazde share of expected goals 75.6%

Total expected goals2.91Balanced

Dedicated goals model: Peste 56% · Sub 44%

Kerry FC0.71

Oaspeți share of expected goals 24.4%

Projected score2–1BTTS splitDa 46% · Nu 54%Match profileBalanced
Recent form

Five-result form summary

The five displayed results are summarized into wins, draws, losses and points for a quick comparison.

Gazde-context · form sequence

Cork City

1.20pts / match
Jucate5Wins2Drawn0Losses3Puncte6

SignalGazde matches over 2.5: 5/5

Oaspeți-context · form sequence

Kerry FC

2.00pts / match
Jucate5Wins3Drawn1Losses1Puncte10

SignalOaspeți unbeaten 4/5

Side-by-side

Matchup comparison

Current match outlook
64%
Câștig probability excluding draw
14%
6
Points from supplied form
10
2.20
Expected goals
0.71
Cork CityKerry FC
Signals and risk

What supports — and challenges — the call

Signals are kept separate from derived risk checks so the page never turns one trend into certainty.

Match signal

Model and market agree on HOME

This is the main matchup observation to consider alongside the probabilities and recent form.

01Cork City signalGazde matches over 2.5: 5/5

This trend belongs to the home team and should be read alongside the probability table.

02Kerry FC signalOaspeți unbeaten 4/5

This trend belongs to the away team and does not override the independent market probabilities.

!Primary-call risk36% outside the selected call

The selected outcome can still fail. Egal probability alone is 22%.

Match questions

Cork City vs Kerry FC FAQ

What is the current prediction?

Current prediction: Victorie gazde · Projected score 2–1 · 64% selection probability.

What are the 1X2 probabilities?

Cork City câștig 64%,Egal 22%,Kerry FC câștig 14%。

Is this expected to be a high-scoring match?

Total expected goals 2.91 · Peste 2.5 56% · Current selection Peste