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VEN Venezuela - Primera Division · Meci ·

Monagas vs Carabobo

Full model forecast,stats and analysis

Gazde form
Projected score1–22.86 expected goals
Oaspeți form
Victorie gazde23%
Egal28%
Victorie oaspeți49%
Full model forecastVictorie oaspețiTier A · 49% selection probability
Full model forecast · Tier A

Match prediction

Model and market agree on AWAY Compare the forecast, reference prices, form and key match signals below.

Primary callVictorie oaspeți49% selection probability
Projected score1–2MonagasCarabobo
Expected goals2.86Balanced match profile
Goals 2.5Peste54% for the selected side
Ambele echipe marcheazăDa54% for the selected side
Expected corners8.2Sub 9.5
Market dashboard

Every available prediction

Each row shows the selection and probability for that market. Correct-score and corner projections do not include standalone probabilities.

MarketSelecțieProbabilitateCotă corectă
23% / 28% / 49%Rezultatul meciuluiVictorie oaspeți49%2.04
Derived from 1X2 · excludes Monagas win (23.1%)Șansă dublăX276.9%1.30
Peste 54% · Sub 46%Goals 2.5Peste54%1.85
Da 54% · Nu 46%Ambele echipe marcheazăDa54%1.85
2.86 total expected goalsScor corect1–2
8.2 expected match cornersCornereSub 9.5
Price comparison

Published forecast vs reference market

Reference odds are converted to normalized probabilities. The gap is descriptive and is not a claim of guaranteed value.

Displayed margin12.6%Largest probability gapCarabobo winDifference+1.0 pp
OutcomePredicțieCotă corectăReference oddsNormalized marketDifference
Monagas win23%4.353.8023.4%-0.4 pp
Egal28%3.573.1028.6%-0.6 pp
Carabobo win49%2.041.8548%+1.0 pp

Reference odds are the pre-match prices stored with this forecast; later market movements do not change the original review.

Scoring projection

Expected-goals split

Expected goals show how the projected scoring total is divided between the two teams.

Monagas1.00

Gazde share of expected goals 35%

Total expected goals2.86Balanced

Dedicated goals model: Peste 54% · Sub 46%

Carabobo1.86

Oaspeți share of expected goals 65%

Projected score1–2BTTS splitDa 54% · Nu 46%Match profileBalanced
Recent form

Five-result form summary

The five displayed results are summarized into wins, draws, losses and points for a quick comparison.

Gazde-context · form sequence

Monagas

0.80pts / match
Jucate5Wins1Drawn1Losses3Puncte4

SignalGazde matches over 2.5: 4/5

Oaspeți-context · form sequence

Carabobo

1.80pts / match
Jucate5Wins3Drawn0Losses2Puncte9

SignalOaspeți won 3/5

Side-by-side

Matchup comparison

Current match outlook
23%
Câștig probability excluding draw
49%
4
Points from supplied form
9
1.00
Expected goals
1.86
MonagasCarabobo
Signals and risk

What supports — and challenges — the call

Signals are kept separate from derived risk checks so the page never turns one trend into certainty.

Match signal

Model and market agree on AWAY

This is the main matchup observation to consider alongside the probabilities and recent form.

01Monagas signalGazde matches over 2.5: 4/5

This trend belongs to the home team and should be read alongside the probability table.

02Carabobo signalOaspeți won 3/5

This trend belongs to the away team and does not override the independent market probabilities.

!Primary-call risk51% outside the selected call

The selected outcome can still fail. Egal probability alone is 28%.

Match questions

Monagas vs Carabobo FAQ

What is the current prediction?

Current prediction: Victorie oaspeți · Projected score 1–2 · 49% selection probability.

What are the 1X2 probabilities?

Monagas câștig 23%,Egal 28%,Carabobo câștig 49%。

Is this expected to be a high-scoring match?

Total expected goals 2.86 · Peste 2.5 54% · Current selection Peste