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EUR Europe Friendlies · Final ·

UD Barbastro vs Atletic Lleida

Prediction review

Gazde form
Final score2–1Predicție 2–1
Oaspeți form
Victorie gazde43%
Egal27%
Victorie oaspeți29%
Market-based forecastVictorie gazdeTier B · 43% selection probability
Prediction Câștigat
Market-based forecast · Tier B

Match prediction

Market-led fallback leans HOME Compare the forecast, reference prices, form and key match signals below.

Primary callVictorie gazde43% selection probability
Projected score2–1UD BarbastroAtletic Lleida
Expected goals3.24Deschide match profile
Goals 2.5Peste62% for the selected side
Ambele echipe marcheazăDa65% for the selected side
Expected corners8.0Sub 9.5
Market dashboard

Every available prediction

Each row shows the selection and probability for that market. Correct-score and corner projections do not include standalone probabilities.

MarketSelecțieProbabilitateCotă corectă
43% / 27% / 29%Rezultatul meciuluiVictorie gazde43%2.33
Derived from 1X2 · excludes draw (27.3%)Șansă dublă1272.7%1.38
Peste 62% · Sub 38%Goals 2.5Peste62%1.61
Da 65% · Nu 35%Ambele echipe marcheazăDa65%1.54
3.24 total expected goalsScor corect2–1
8.0 expected match cornersCornereSub 9.5
Price comparison

Reference market used for this forecast

This market-based forecast is aligned to the normalized pre-match 1X2 reference. The comparison is contextual and makes no betting-edge claim.

Displayed margin10.6%Forecast sourceMarket-basedEdge claimNiciuna
OutcomePredicțieCotă corectăReference oddsNormalized marketDifference
UD Barbastro win43%2.332.1043%
Egal27%3.703.2527.8%
Atletic Lleida win29%3.453.1029.2%

Reference odds are the pre-match prices stored with this forecast; later market movements do not change the original review.

Scoring projection

Expected-goals split

Expected goals show how the projected scoring total is divided between the two teams.

UD Barbastro1.78

Gazde share of expected goals 54.9%

Total expected goals3.24Deschide

Dedicated goals model: Peste 62% · Sub 38%

Atletic Lleida1.46

Oaspeți share of expected goals 45.1%

Projected score2–1BTTS splitDa 65% · Nu 35%Match profileDeschide
Recent form

Five-result form summary

The five displayed results are summarized into wins, draws, losses and points for a quick comparison.

Gazde-context · form sequence

UD Barbastro

2.33pts / match
Jucate3Wins2Drawn1Losses0Puncte7

SignalGazde unbeaten 3/3

Oaspeți-context · form sequence

Atletic Lleida

2.00pts / match
Jucate4Wins2Drawn2Losses0Puncte8

SignalGazde clean sheets: 2/3

Side-by-side

Matchup comparison

Current match outlook
43%
Câștig probability excluding draw
29%
7
Points from supplied form
8
1.78
Expected goals
1.46
UD BarbastroAtletic Lleida
Signals and risk

What supports — and challenges — the call

Signals are kept separate from derived risk checks so the page never turns one trend into certainty.

Match signal

Market-led fallback leans HOME

This is the main matchup observation to consider alongside the probabilities and recent form.

01UD Barbastro signalGazde unbeaten 3/3

This trend belongs to the home team and should be read alongside the probability table.

02Atletic Lleida signalGazde clean sheets: 2/3

This trend belongs to the away team and does not override the independent market probabilities.

!Primary-call risk57% outside the selected call

The selected outcome can still fail. Egal probability alone is 27%.

Match questions

UD Barbastro vs Atletic Lleida FAQ

What is the current prediction?

Current prediction: Victorie gazde · Projected score 2–1 · 43% selection probability.

What are the 1X2 probabilities?

UD Barbastro câștig 43%,Egal 27%,Atletic Lleida câștig 29%。

Is this expected to be a high-scoring match?

Total expected goals 3.24 · Peste 2.5 62% · Current selection Peste