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EUR 欧州親善試合 · Final ·

UDバルバストロ vs アトレティコ・リェイダ

Prediction review

ホーム form
Final score2–1予想 2–1
アウェイ form
ホーム勝利43%
引き分け27%
アウェイ勝利29%
Market-based forecastホーム勝利Tier B · 43% selection probability
Prediction 的中
Market-based forecast · Tier B

Match prediction

Market-led fallback leans HOME Compare the forecast, reference prices, form and key match signals below.

Primary callホーム勝利43% selection probability
Projected score2–1UDバルバストロアトレティコ・リェイダ
Expected goals3.24始値 match profile
Goals 2.5オーバー62% for the selected side
両チーム得点はい65% for the selected side
Expected corners8.0アンダー 9.5
Market dashboard

Every available prediction

Each row shows the selection and probability for that market. Correct-score and corner projections do not include standalone probabilities.

Market選択確率フェアオッズ
43% / 27% / 29%試合結果ホーム勝利43%2.33
Derived from 1X2 · excludes draw (27.3%)ダブルチャンス1272.7%1.38
オーバー 62% · アンダー 38%Goals 2.5オーバー62%1.61
はい 65% · いいえ 35%両チーム得点はい65%1.54
3.24 total expected goals正確なスコア2–1
8.0 expected match cornersコーナーアンダー 9.5
Price comparison

Reference market used for this forecast

This market-based forecast is aligned to the normalized pre-match 1X2 reference. The comparison is contextual and makes no betting-edge claim.

Displayed margin10.6%Forecast sourceMarket-basedEdge claimなし
Outcome予想フェアオッズReference oddsNormalized marketDifference
UDバルバストロ win43%2.332.1043%
引き分け27%3.703.2527.8%
アトレティコ・リェイダ win29%3.453.1029.2%

Reference odds are the pre-match prices stored with this forecast; later market movements do not change the original review.

Scoring projection

Expected-goals split

Expected goals show how the projected scoring total is divided between the two teams.

UDバルバストロ1.78

ホーム share of expected goals 54.9%

Total expected goals3.24始値

Dedicated goals model: オーバー 62% · アンダー 38%

アトレティコ・リェイダ1.46

アウェイ share of expected goals 45.1%

Projected score2–1BTTS splitはい 65% · いいえ 35%Match profile始値
Recent form

Five-result form summary

The five displayed results are summarized into wins, draws, losses and points for a quick comparison.

ホーム-context · form sequence

UDバルバストロ

2.33pts / match
試合数3Wins2Drawn1Losses0ポイント7

Signalホーム unbeaten 3/3

アウェイ-context · form sequence

アトレティコ・リェイダ

2.00pts / match
試合数4Wins2Drawn2Losses0ポイント8

Signalホーム clean sheets: 2/3

Side-by-side

Matchup comparison

Current match outlook
43%
勝ち probability excluding draw
29%
7
Points from supplied form
8
1.78
Expected goals
1.46
UDバルバストロアトレティコ・リェイダ
Signals and risk

What supports — and challenges — the call

Signals are kept separate from derived risk checks so the page never turns one trend into certainty.

Match signal

Market-led fallback leans HOME

This is the main matchup observation to consider alongside the probabilities and recent form.

01UDバルバストロ signalホーム unbeaten 3/3

This trend belongs to the home team and should be read alongside the probability table.

02アトレティコ・リェイダ signalホーム clean sheets: 2/3

This trend belongs to the away team and does not override the independent market probabilities.

!Primary-call risk57% outside the selected call

The selected outcome can still fail. 引き分け probability alone is 27%.

Match questions

UDバルバストロ vs アトレティコ・リェイダ FAQ

What is the current prediction?

Current prediction: ホーム勝利 · Projected score 2–1 · 43% selection probability.

What are the 1X2 probabilities?

UDバルバストロ 勝ち 43%,引き分け 27%,アトレティコ・リェイダ 勝ち 29%。

Is this expected to be a high-scoring match?

Total expected goals 3.24 · オーバー 2.5 62% · Current selection オーバー