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HRV Croácia - HNL · Partida ·

Hajduk Split vs NK Lokomotiva Zagreb

Full model forecast,stats and analysis

Mandante form
Projected score2–13.00 expected goals
Visitante form
Vitória da casa63%
Empate22%
Vitória visitante14%
Full model forecastVitória da casaTier A · 63% selection probability
Full model forecast · Tier A

Match prediction

Model and market agree on HOME Compare the forecast, reference prices, form and key match signals below.

Primary callVitória da casa63% selection probability
Projected score2–1Hajduk SplitNK Lokomotiva Zagreb
Expected goals3.00Balanced match profile
Goals 2.5Acima58% for the selected side
Ambas as equipes marcamSim51% for the selected side
Expected corners9.1Abaixo 9.5
Market dashboard

Every available prediction

Each row shows the selection and probability for that market. Correct-score and corner projections do not include standalone probabilities.

MarketSeleçãoProbabilidadeOdds justas
63% / 22% / 14%Resultado da partidaVitória da casa63%1.59
Derived from 1X2 · excludes NK Lokomotiva Zagreb win (14.3%)Dupla Chance1X85.7%1.17
Acima 58% · Abaixo 42%Goals 2.5Acima58%1.72
Sim 51% · Não 49%Ambas as equipes marcamSim51%1.96
3.00 total expected goalsPlacar exato2–1
9.1 expected match cornersEscanteiosAbaixo 9.5
Price comparison

Published forecast vs reference market

Reference odds are converted to normalized probabilities. The gap is descriptive and is not a claim of guaranteed value.

Displayed margin11.4%Largest probability gapDrawDifference-0.4 pp
OutcomePrevisãoOdds justasReference oddsNormalized marketDifference
Hajduk Split win63%1.591.4263.2%-0.2 pp
Empate22%4.554.0022.4%-0.4 pp
NK Lokomotiva Zagreb win14%7.146.2514.4%-0.4 pp

Reference odds are the pre-match prices stored with this forecast; later market movements do not change the original review.

Scoring projection

Expected-goals split

Expected goals show how the projected scoring total is divided between the two teams.

Hajduk Split2.14

Mandante share of expected goals 71.3%

Total expected goals3.00Balanced

Dedicated goals model: Acima 58% · Abaixo 42%

NK Lokomotiva Zagreb0.86

Visitante share of expected goals 28.7%

Projected score2–1BTTS splitSim 51% · Não 49%Match profileBalanced
Recent form

Five-result form summary

The five displayed results are summarized into wins, draws, losses and points for a quick comparison.

Mandante-context · form sequence

Hajduk Split

2.20pts / match
Jogos5Wins3Drawn2Losses0Pontos11

SignalMandante unbeaten 5/5

Visitante-context · form sequence

NK Lokomotiva Zagreb

1.80pts / match
Jogos5Wins3Drawn0Losses2Pontos9

SignalMandante matches over 2.5: 5/5

Side-by-side

Matchup comparison

Current match outlook
63%
Ganhou probability excluding draw
14%
11
Points from supplied form
9
2.14
Expected goals
0.86
Hajduk SplitNK Lokomotiva Zagreb
Signals and risk

What supports — and challenges — the call

Signals are kept separate from derived risk checks so the page never turns one trend into certainty.

Match signal

Model and market agree on HOME

This is the main matchup observation to consider alongside the probabilities and recent form.

01Hajduk Split signalMandante unbeaten 5/5

This trend belongs to the home team and should be read alongside the probability table.

02NK Lokomotiva Zagreb signalMandante matches over 2.5: 5/5

This trend belongs to the away team and does not override the independent market probabilities.

!Primary-call risk37% outside the selected call

The selected outcome can still fail. Empate probability alone is 22%.

Match questions

Hajduk Split vs NK Lokomotiva Zagreb FAQ

What is the current prediction?

Current prediction: Vitória da casa · Projected score 2–1 · 63% selection probability.

What are the 1X2 probabilities?

Hajduk Split ganhou 63%,Empate 22%,NK Lokomotiva Zagreb ganhou 14%。

Is this expected to be a high-scoring match?

Total expected goals 3.00 · Acima 2.5 58% · Current selection Acima