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INT Peru - Liga 2 · Partida ·

Comerciantes FC vs Bentín Tacna Heroica

Full model forecast,stats and analysis

Mandante form
Projected score1–12.19 expected goals
Visitante form
Vitória da casa52%
Empate27%
Vitória visitante21%
Full model forecastVitória da casaTier A · 52% selection probability
Full model forecast · Tier A

Match prediction

Model and market agree on HOME Compare the forecast, reference prices, form and key match signals below.

Primary callVitória da casa52% selection probability
Projected score1–1Comerciantes FCBentín Tacna Heroica
Expected goals2.19Low-scoring match profile
Goals 2.5Abaixo62% for the selected side
Ambas as equipes marcamNão60% for the selected side
Expected corners9.1Abaixo 9.5
Market dashboard

Every available prediction

Each row shows the selection and probability for that market. Correct-score and corner projections do not include standalone probabilities.

MarketSeleçãoProbabilidadeOdds justas
52% / 27% / 21%Resultado da partidaVitória da casa52%1.92
Derived from 1X2 · excludes Bentín Tacna Heroica win (21.1%)Dupla Chance1X78.9%1.27
Acima 38% · Abaixo 62%Goals 2.5Abaixo62%1.61
Sim 40% · Não 60%Ambas as equipes marcamNão60%1.67
2.19 total expected goalsPlacar exato1–1
9.1 expected match cornersEscanteiosAbaixo 9.5
Price comparison

Published forecast vs reference market

Reference odds are converted to normalized probabilities. The gap is descriptive and is not a claim of guaranteed value.

Displayed margin11.0%Largest probability gapDrawDifference+0.5 pp
OutcomePrevisãoOdds justasReference oddsNormalized marketDifference
Comerciantes FC win52%1.921.7352.1%-0.1 pp
Empate27%3.703.4026.5%+0.5 pp
Bentín Tacna Heroica win21%4.764.2021.4%-0.4 pp

Reference odds are the pre-match prices stored with this forecast; later market movements do not change the original review.

Scoring projection

Expected-goals split

Expected goals show how the projected scoring total is divided between the two teams.

Comerciantes FC1.47

Mandante share of expected goals 67.1%

Total expected goals2.19Low-scoring

Dedicated goals model: Acima 38% · Abaixo 62%

Bentín Tacna Heroica0.72

Visitante share of expected goals 32.9%

Projected score1–1BTTS splitSim 40% · Não 60%Match profileLow-scoring
Recent form

Five-result form summary

The five displayed results are summarized into wins, draws, losses and points for a quick comparison.

Mandante-context · form sequence

Comerciantes FC

1.20pts / match
Jogos5Wins1Drawn3Losses1Pontos6

SignalMandante unbeaten 4/5

Visitante-context · form sequence

Bentín Tacna Heroica

2.40pts / match
Jogos5Wins4Drawn0Losses1Pontos12

SignalMandante matches under 2.5: 4/5

Side-by-side

Matchup comparison

Current match outlook
52%
Ganhou probability excluding draw
21%
6
Points from supplied form
12
1.47
Expected goals
0.72
Comerciantes FCBentín Tacna Heroica
Signals and risk

What supports — and challenges — the call

Signals are kept separate from derived risk checks so the page never turns one trend into certainty.

Match signal

Model and market agree on HOME

This is the main matchup observation to consider alongside the probabilities and recent form.

01Comerciantes FC signalMandante unbeaten 4/5

This trend belongs to the home team and should be read alongside the probability table.

02Bentín Tacna Heroica signalMandante matches under 2.5: 4/5

This trend belongs to the away team and does not override the independent market probabilities.

!Primary-call risk48% outside the selected call

The selected outcome can still fail. Empate probability alone is 27%.

Match questions

Comerciantes FC vs Bentín Tacna Heroica FAQ

What is the current prediction?

Current prediction: Vitória da casa · Projected score 1–1 · 52% selection probability.

What are the 1X2 probabilities?

Comerciantes FC ganhou 52%,Empate 27%,Bentín Tacna Heroica ganhou 21%。

Is this expected to be a high-scoring match?

Total expected goals 2.19 · Acima 2.5 38% · Current selection Abaixo