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INT Peru - Liga 2 · Spiel ·

Comerciantes FC vs Bentín Tacna Heroica

Full model forecast,stats and analysis

Heim form
Projected score1–12.19 expected goals
Auswärts form
Heimsieg52%
Unentschieden27%
Auswärtssieg21%
Full model forecastHeimsiegTier A · 52% selection probability
Full model forecast · Tier A

Match prediction

Model and market agree on HOME Compare the forecast, reference prices, form and key match signals below.

Primary callHeimsieg52% selection probability
Projected score1–1Comerciantes FCBentín Tacna Heroica
Expected goals2.19Low-scoring match profile
Goals 2.5Unter62% for the selected side
Beide Teams treffenNein60% for the selected side
Expected corners9.1Unter 9.5
Market dashboard

Every available prediction

Each row shows the selection and probability for that market. Correct-score and corner projections do not include standalone probabilities.

MarketAuswahlWahrscheinlichkeitFaire Quote
52% / 27% / 21%SpielergebnisHeimsieg52%1.92
Derived from 1X2 · excludes Bentín Tacna Heroica win (21.1%)Doppelte Chance1X78.9%1.27
Über 38% · Unter 62%Goals 2.5Unter62%1.61
Ja 40% · Nein 60%Beide Teams treffenNein60%1.67
2.19 total expected goalsGenaues Ergebnis1–1
9.1 expected match cornersEckenUnter 9.5
Price comparison

Published forecast vs reference market

Reference odds are converted to normalized probabilities. The gap is descriptive and is not a claim of guaranteed value.

Displayed margin11.0%Largest probability gapDrawDifference+0.5 pp
OutcomePrognoseFaire QuoteReference oddsNormalized marketDifference
Comerciantes FC win52%1.921.7352.1%-0.1 pp
Unentschieden27%3.703.4026.5%+0.5 pp
Bentín Tacna Heroica win21%4.764.2021.4%-0.4 pp

Reference odds are the pre-match prices stored with this forecast; later market movements do not change the original review.

Scoring projection

Expected-goals split

Expected goals show how the projected scoring total is divided between the two teams.

Comerciantes FC1.47

Heim share of expected goals 67.1%

Total expected goals2.19Low-scoring

Dedicated goals model: Über 38% · Unter 62%

Bentín Tacna Heroica0.72

Auswärts share of expected goals 32.9%

Projected score1–1BTTS splitJa 40% · Nein 60%Match profileLow-scoring
Recent form

Five-result form summary

The five displayed results are summarized into wins, draws, losses and points for a quick comparison.

Heim-context · form sequence

Comerciantes FC

1.20pts / match
Gespielt5Wins1Drawn3Losses1Punkte6

SignalHeim unbeaten 4/5

Auswärts-context · form sequence

Bentín Tacna Heroica

2.40pts / match
Gespielt5Wins4Drawn0Losses1Punkte12

SignalHeim matches under 2.5: 4/5

Side-by-side

Matchup comparison

Current match outlook
52%
Gewinn probability excluding draw
21%
6
Points from supplied form
12
1.47
Expected goals
0.72
Comerciantes FCBentín Tacna Heroica
Signals and risk

What supports — and challenges — the call

Signals are kept separate from derived risk checks so the page never turns one trend into certainty.

Match signal

Model and market agree on HOME

This is the main matchup observation to consider alongside the probabilities and recent form.

01Comerciantes FC signalHeim unbeaten 4/5

This trend belongs to the home team and should be read alongside the probability table.

02Bentín Tacna Heroica signalHeim matches under 2.5: 4/5

This trend belongs to the away team and does not override the independent market probabilities.

!Primary-call risk48% outside the selected call

The selected outcome can still fail. Unentschieden probability alone is 27%.

Match questions

Comerciantes FC vs Bentín Tacna Heroica FAQ

What is the current prediction?

Current prediction: Heimsieg · Projected score 1–1 · 52% selection probability.

What are the 1X2 probabilities?

Comerciantes FC Gewinn 52%,Unentschieden 27%,Bentín Tacna Heroica Gewinn 21%。

Is this expected to be a high-scoring match?

Total expected goals 2.19 · Über 2.5 38% · Current selection Unter