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ENG Inglaterra - National League North · Partida ·

Darlington vs Worksop Town

Full model forecast,stats and analysis

Mandante form
Projected score2–13.17 expected goals
Visitante form
Vitória da casa44%
Empate25%
Vitória visitante31%
Full model forecastVitória da casaTier A · 44% selection probability
Full model forecast · Tier A

Match prediction

Model and market agree on HOME Compare the forecast, reference prices, form and key match signals below.

Primary callVitória da casa44% selection probability
Projected score2–1DarlingtonWorksop Town
Expected goals3.17Abrir match profile
Goals 2.5Acima61% for the selected side
Ambas as equipes marcamSim62% for the selected side
Expected corners10.3Acima 9.5
Market dashboard

Every available prediction

Each row shows the selection and probability for that market. Correct-score and corner projections do not include standalone probabilities.

MarketSeleçãoProbabilidadeOdds justas
44% / 25% / 31%Resultado da partidaVitória da casa44%2.27
Derived from 1X2 · excludes draw (24.9%)Dupla Chance1275.1%1.33
Acima 61% · Abaixo 39%Goals 2.5Acima61%1.64
Sim 62% · Não 38%Ambas as equipes marcamSim62%1.61
3.17 total expected goalsPlacar exato2–1
10.3 expected match cornersEscanteiosAcima 9.5
Price comparison

Published forecast vs reference market

Reference odds are converted to normalized probabilities. The gap is descriptive and is not a claim of guaranteed value.

Displayed margin11.0%Largest probability gapDarlington winDifference+0.1 pp
OutcomePrevisãoOdds justasReference oddsNormalized marketDifference
Darlington win44%2.272.0543.9%+0.1 pp
Empate25%4.003.6025%0.0 pp
Worksop Town win31%3.232.9031.1%-0.1 pp

Reference odds are the pre-match prices stored with this forecast; later market movements do not change the original review.

Scoring projection

Expected-goals split

Expected goals show how the projected scoring total is divided between the two teams.

Darlington1.86

Mandante share of expected goals 58.7%

Total expected goals3.17Abrir

Dedicated goals model: Acima 61% · Abaixo 39%

Worksop Town1.31

Visitante share of expected goals 41.3%

Projected score2–1BTTS splitSim 62% · Não 38%Match profileAbrir
Recent form

Five-result form summary

The five displayed results are summarized into wins, draws, losses and points for a quick comparison.

Mandante-context · form sequence

Darlington

0.80pts / match
Jogos5Wins1Drawn1Losses3Pontos4

SignalMandante matches over 2.5: 3/5

Visitante-context · form sequence

Worksop Town

1.40pts / match
Jogos5Wins2Drawn1Losses2Pontos7

SignalVisitante matches over 2.5: 3/5

Side-by-side

Matchup comparison

Current match outlook
44%
Ganhou probability excluding draw
31%
4
Points from supplied form
7
1.86
Expected goals
1.31
DarlingtonWorksop Town
Signals and risk

What supports — and challenges — the call

Signals are kept separate from derived risk checks so the page never turns one trend into certainty.

Match signal

Model and market agree on HOME

This is the main matchup observation to consider alongside the probabilities and recent form.

01Darlington signalMandante matches over 2.5: 3/5

This trend belongs to the home team and should be read alongside the probability table.

02Worksop Town signalVisitante matches over 2.5: 3/5

This trend belongs to the away team and does not override the independent market probabilities.

!Primary-call risk56% outside the selected call

The selected outcome can still fail. Empate probability alone is 25%.

Match questions

Darlington vs Worksop Town FAQ

What is the current prediction?

Current prediction: Vitória da casa · Projected score 2–1 · 44% selection probability.

What are the 1X2 probabilities?

Darlington ganhou 44%,Empate 25%,Worksop Town ganhou 31%。

Is this expected to be a high-scoring match?

Total expected goals 3.17 · Acima 2.5 61% · Current selection Acima