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ENG Inglismaa National League North · Mäng ·

Darlington vs Worksop Town

Full model forecast,stats and analysis

Kodu form
Projected score2–13.17 expected goals
Võõras form
Koduvõit44%
Viik25%
Võõrsilvõit31%
Full model forecastKoduvõitTier A · 44% selection probability
Full model forecast · Tier A

Match prediction

Model and market agree on HOME Compare the forecast, reference prices, form and key match signals below.

Primary callKoduvõit44% selection probability
Projected score2–1DarlingtonWorksop Town
Expected goals3.17Avamine match profile
Goals 2.5Üle61% for the selected side
Mõlemad meeskonnad löövad väravaJah62% for the selected side
Expected corners10.3Üle 9.5
Market dashboard

Every available prediction

Each row shows the selection and probability for that market. Correct-score and corner projections do not include standalone probabilities.

MarketValikTõenäosusÕiglane koefitsient
44% / 25% / 31%Mängu tulemusKoduvõit44%2.27
Derived from 1X2 · excludes draw (24.9%)Topeltvõimalus1275.1%1.33
Üle 61% · Alla 39%Goals 2.5Üle61%1.64
Jah 62% · Ei 38%Mõlemad meeskonnad löövad väravaJah62%1.61
3.17 total expected goalsTäpne skoor2–1
10.3 expected match cornersNurgalöögidÜle 9.5
Price comparison

Published forecast vs reference market

Reference odds are converted to normalized probabilities. The gap is descriptive and is not a claim of guaranteed value.

Displayed margin11.0%Largest probability gapDarlington winDifference+0.1 pp
OutcomeEnnustusÕiglane koefitsientReference oddsNormalized marketDifference
Darlington win44%2.272.0543.9%+0.1 pp
Viik25%4.003.6025%0.0 pp
Worksop Town win31%3.232.9031.1%-0.1 pp

Reference odds are the pre-match prices stored with this forecast; later market movements do not change the original review.

Scoring projection

Expected-goals split

Expected goals show how the projected scoring total is divided between the two teams.

Darlington1.86

Kodu share of expected goals 58.7%

Total expected goals3.17Avamine

Dedicated goals model: Üle 61% · Alla 39%

Worksop Town1.31

Võõras share of expected goals 41.3%

Projected score2–1BTTS splitJah 62% · Ei 38%Match profileAvamine
Recent form

Five-result form summary

The five displayed results are summarized into wins, draws, losses and points for a quick comparison.

Kodu-context · form sequence

Darlington

0.80pts / match
Mängitud5Wins1Drawn1Losses3Punktid4

SignalKodu matches over 2.5: 3/5

Võõras-context · form sequence

Worksop Town

1.40pts / match
Mängitud5Wins2Drawn1Losses2Punktid7

SignalVõõras matches over 2.5: 3/5

Side-by-side

Matchup comparison

Current match outlook
44%
Võit probability excluding draw
31%
4
Points from supplied form
7
1.86
Expected goals
1.31
DarlingtonWorksop Town
Signals and risk

What supports — and challenges — the call

Signals are kept separate from derived risk checks so the page never turns one trend into certainty.

Match signal

Model and market agree on HOME

This is the main matchup observation to consider alongside the probabilities and recent form.

01Darlington signalKodu matches over 2.5: 3/5

This trend belongs to the home team and should be read alongside the probability table.

02Worksop Town signalVõõras matches over 2.5: 3/5

This trend belongs to the away team and does not override the independent market probabilities.

!Primary-call risk56% outside the selected call

The selected outcome can still fail. Viik probability alone is 25%.

Match questions

Darlington vs Worksop Town FAQ

What is the current prediction?

Current prediction: Koduvõit · Projected score 2–1 · 44% selection probability.

What are the 1X2 probabilities?

Darlington võit 44%,Viik 25%,Worksop Town võit 31%。

Is this expected to be a high-scoring match?

Total expected goals 3.17 · Üle 2.5 61% · Current selection Üle