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EUR Europe Friendlies · Mecz ·

Lugo vs Ourense CF

Market-based forecast,stats and analysis

Gospodarze form
Projected score2–13.22 expected goals
Goście form
Wygrana gospodarzy50%
Remis25%
Wygrana gości26%
Market-based forecastWygrana gospodarzyTier B · 50% selection probability
Market-based forecast · Tier B

Match prediction

Market-led fallback leans HOME Compare the forecast, reference prices, form and key match signals below.

Primary callWygrana gospodarzy50% selection probability
Projected score2–1LugoOurense CF
Expected goals3.22Otwarcie match profile
Goals 2.5Powyżej62% for the selected side
Obie drużyny strzeląTak64% for the selected side
Expected corners8.4Poniżej 9.5
Market dashboard

Every available prediction

Each row shows the selection and probability for that market. Correct-score and corner projections do not include standalone probabilities.

MarketWybórPrawdopodobieństwoUczciwy kurs
50% / 25% / 26%Wynik meczuWygrana gospodarzy50%2.00
Derived from 1X2 · excludes draw (24.8%)Podwójna szansa1275.2%1.33
Powyżej 62% · Poniżej 38%Goals 2.5Powyżej62%1.61
Tak 64% · Nie 36%Obie drużyny strzeląTak64%1.56
3.22 total expected goalsDokładny wynik2–1
8.4 expected match cornersRożnePoniżej 9.5
Price comparison

Reference market used for this forecast

This market-based forecast is aligned to the normalized pre-match 1X2 reference. The comparison is contextual and makes no betting-edge claim.

Displayed margin11.1%Forecast sourceMarket-basedEdge claimBrak
OutcomePrognozaUczciwy kursReference oddsNormalized marketDifference
Lugo win50%2.001.8050%
Remis25%4.003.6025%
Ourense CF win26%3.853.6025%

Reference odds are the pre-match prices stored with this forecast; later market movements do not change the original review.

Scoring projection

Expected-goals split

Expected goals show how the projected scoring total is divided between the two teams.

Lugo1.86

Gospodarze share of expected goals 57.8%

Total expected goals3.22Otwarcie

Dedicated goals model: Powyżej 62% · Poniżej 38%

Ourense CF1.36

Goście share of expected goals 42.2%

Projected score2–1BTTS splitTak 64% · Nie 36%Match profileOtwarcie
Recent form

Five-result form summary

The five displayed results are summarized into wins, draws, losses and points for a quick comparison.

Gospodarze-context · form sequence

Lugo

2.00pts / match
Rozegrane5Wins3Drawn1Losses1Punkty10

SignalGospodarze unbeaten 4/5

Goście-context · form sequence

Ourense CF

2.00pts / match
Rozegrane3Wins2Drawn0Losses1Punkty6

SignalGospodarze matches under 2.5: 4/5

Side-by-side

Matchup comparison

Current match outlook
50%
Wygrana probability excluding draw
26%
10
Points from supplied form
6
1.86
Expected goals
1.36
LugoOurense CF
Signals and risk

What supports — and challenges — the call

Signals are kept separate from derived risk checks so the page never turns one trend into certainty.

Match signal

Market-led fallback leans HOME

This is the main matchup observation to consider alongside the probabilities and recent form.

01Lugo signalGospodarze unbeaten 4/5

This trend belongs to the home team and should be read alongside the probability table.

02Ourense CF signalGospodarze matches under 2.5: 4/5

This trend belongs to the away team and does not override the independent market probabilities.

!Primary-call risk50% outside the selected call

The selected outcome can still fail. Remis probability alone is 25%.

Match questions

Lugo vs Ourense CF FAQ

What is the current prediction?

Current prediction: Wygrana gospodarzy · Projected score 2–1 · 50% selection probability.

What are the 1X2 probabilities?

Lugo wygrana 50%,Remis 25%,Ourense CF wygrana 26%。

Is this expected to be a high-scoring match?

Total expected goals 3.22 · Powyżej 2.5 62% · Current selection Powyżej