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EUR Europe Friendlies · Partita ·

Lugo vs Ourense CF

Market-based forecast,stats and analysis

Casa form
Projected score2–13.22 expected goals
Trasferta form
Vittoria casa50%
Pareggio25%
Vittoria ospite26%
Market-based forecastVittoria casaTier B · 50% selection probability
Market-based forecast · Tier B

Match prediction

Market-led fallback leans HOME Compare the forecast, reference prices, form and key match signals below.

Primary callVittoria casa50% selection probability
Projected score2–1LugoOurense CF
Expected goals3.22Apertura match profile
Goals 2.5Sopra62% for the selected side
Entrambe le squadre segnano64% for the selected side
Expected corners8.4Sotto 9.5
Market dashboard

Every available prediction

Each row shows the selection and probability for that market. Correct-score and corner projections do not include standalone probabilities.

MarketSelezioneProbabilitàQuote eque
50% / 25% / 26%Esito partitaVittoria casa50%2.00
Derived from 1X2 · excludes draw (24.8%)Doppia Chance1275.2%1.33
Sopra 62% · Sotto 38%Goals 2.5Sopra62%1.61
Sì 64% · No 36%Entrambe le squadre segnano64%1.56
3.22 total expected goalsRisultato esatto2–1
8.4 expected match cornersCornerSotto 9.5
Price comparison

Reference market used for this forecast

This market-based forecast is aligned to the normalized pre-match 1X2 reference. The comparison is contextual and makes no betting-edge claim.

Displayed margin11.1%Forecast sourceMarket-basedEdge claimNessuno
OutcomePronosticoQuote equeReference oddsNormalized marketDifference
Lugo win50%2.001.8050%
Pareggio25%4.003.6025%
Ourense CF win26%3.853.6025%

Reference odds are the pre-match prices stored with this forecast; later market movements do not change the original review.

Scoring projection

Expected-goals split

Expected goals show how the projected scoring total is divided between the two teams.

Lugo1.86

Casa share of expected goals 57.8%

Total expected goals3.22Apertura

Dedicated goals model: Sopra 62% · Sotto 38%

Ourense CF1.36

Trasferta share of expected goals 42.2%

Projected score2–1BTTS split 64% · No 36%Match profileApertura
Recent form

Five-result form summary

The five displayed results are summarized into wins, draws, losses and points for a quick comparison.

Casa-context · form sequence

Lugo

2.00pts / match
Giocate5Wins3Drawn1Losses1Punti10

SignalCasa unbeaten 4/5

Trasferta-context · form sequence

Ourense CF

2.00pts / match
Giocate3Wins2Drawn0Losses1Punti6

SignalCasa matches under 2.5: 4/5

Side-by-side

Matchup comparison

Current match outlook
50%
Vinta probability excluding draw
26%
10
Points from supplied form
6
1.86
Expected goals
1.36
LugoOurense CF
Signals and risk

What supports — and challenges — the call

Signals are kept separate from derived risk checks so the page never turns one trend into certainty.

Match signal

Market-led fallback leans HOME

This is the main matchup observation to consider alongside the probabilities and recent form.

01Lugo signalCasa unbeaten 4/5

This trend belongs to the home team and should be read alongside the probability table.

02Ourense CF signalCasa matches under 2.5: 4/5

This trend belongs to the away team and does not override the independent market probabilities.

!Primary-call risk50% outside the selected call

The selected outcome can still fail. Pareggio probability alone is 25%.

Match questions

Lugo vs Ourense CF FAQ

What is the current prediction?

Current prediction: Vittoria casa · Projected score 2–1 · 50% selection probability.

What are the 1X2 probabilities?

Lugo vinta 50%,Pareggio 25%,Ourense CF vinta 26%。

Is this expected to be a high-scoring match?

Total expected goals 3.22 · Sopra 2.5 62% · Current selection Sopra