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AUS Australia - Capital Territory - Premier League · Mecz ·

Monaro Panthers vs Belconnen United

Full model forecast,stats and analysis

Gospodarze form
Projected score4–14.79 expected goals
Goście form
Wygrana gospodarzy73%
Remis16%
Wygrana gości11%
Full model forecastWygrana gospodarzyTier A · 73% selection probability
Full model forecast · Tier A

Match prediction

Calibrated Dixon-Coles leans HOME Compare the forecast probabilities, fair prices, form and key match signals below.

Primary callWygrana gospodarzy73% selection probability
Projected score4–1Monaro PanthersBelconnen United
Expected goals4.79Otwarcie match profile
Goals 2.5Powyżej86% for the selected side
Obie drużyny strzeląTak62% for the selected side
Expected corners9.5Poniżej 9.5
Market dashboard

Every available prediction

Each row shows the selection and probability for that market. Correct-score and corner projections do not include standalone probabilities.

MarketWybórPrawdopodobieństwoUczciwy kurs
73% / 16% / 11%Wynik meczuWygrana gospodarzy73%1.37
Derived from 1X2 · excludes Belconnen United win (11%)Podwójna szansa1X89%1.12
Powyżej 86% · Poniżej 14%Goals 2.5Powyżej86%1.16
Tak 62% · Nie 38%Obie drużyny strzeląTak62%1.61
4.79 total expected goalsDokładny wynik4–1
9.5 expected match cornersRożnePoniżej 9.5
Probability view

Forecast probabilities and fair odds

Nie snapshot-bound 1X2 price was available for this forecast, so this page does not show a market comparison or probability-gap claim.

OutcomeForecast probabilityUczciwy kurs
Monaro Panthers win73%1.37
Remis16%6.25
Belconnen United win11%9.09

Fair odds are calculated directly from the published forecast probabilities and are not bookmaker prices.

Scoring projection

Expected-goals split

Expected goals show how the projected scoring total is divided between the two teams.

Monaro Panthers3.80

Gospodarze share of expected goals 79.3%

Total expected goals4.79Otwarcie

Dedicated goals model: Powyżej 86% · Poniżej 14%

Belconnen United0.99

Goście share of expected goals 20.7%

Projected score4–1BTTS splitTak 62% · Nie 38%Match profileOtwarcie
Recent form

Five-result form summary

The five displayed results are summarized into wins, draws, losses and points for a quick comparison.

Gospodarze-context · form sequence

Monaro Panthers

2.60pts / match
Rozegrane5Wins4Drawn1Losses0Punkty13

SignalGospodarze unbeaten 5/5

Goście-context · form sequence

Belconnen United

0.20pts / match
Rozegrane5Wins0Drawn1Losses4Punkty1

SignalGospodarze matches over 2.5: 3/5

Side-by-side

Matchup comparison

Current match outlook
73%
Wygrana probability excluding draw
11%
13
Points from supplied form
1
3.80
Expected goals
0.99
Monaro PanthersBelconnen United
Signals and risk

What supports — and challenges — the call

Signals are kept separate from derived risk checks so the page never turns one trend into certainty.

Match signal

Calibrated Dixon-Coles leans HOME

This is the main matchup observation to consider alongside the probabilities and recent form.

01Monaro Panthers signalGospodarze unbeaten 5/5

This trend belongs to the home team and should be read alongside the probability table.

02Belconnen United signalGospodarze matches over 2.5: 3/5

This trend belongs to the away team and does not override the independent market probabilities.

!Primary-call risk27% outside the selected call

The selected outcome can still fail. Remis probability alone is 16%.

Match questions

Monaro Panthers vs Belconnen United FAQ

What is the current prediction?

Current prediction: Wygrana gospodarzy · Projected score 4–1 · 73% selection probability.

What are the 1X2 probabilities?

Monaro Panthers wygrana 73%,Remis 16%,Belconnen United wygrana 11%。

Is this expected to be a high-scoring match?

Total expected goals 4.79 · Powyżej 2.5 86% · Current selection Powyżej