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ENG Anglia - EFL Cup · Mecz ·

AFC Wimbledon vs Newport County

Baseline forecast,stats and analysis

Gospodarze form
Projected score1–12.70 expected goals
Goście form
Wygrana gospodarzy37%
Remis26%
Wygrana gości37%
Baseline forecastWygrana gościTier C · 37% selection probability
Baseline forecast · Tier C

Match prediction

Low-confidence goal-prior fallback leans AWAY Compare the forecast probabilities, fair prices, form and key match signals below.

Primary callWygrana gości37% selection probability
Projected score1–1AFC WimbledonNewport County
Expected goals2.70Balanced match profile
Goals 2.5Powyżej51% for the selected side
Obie drużyny strzeląTak55% for the selected side
Expected corners9.6Poniżej 9.5
Market dashboard

Every available prediction

Each row shows the selection and probability for that market. Correct-score and corner projections do not include standalone probabilities.

MarketWybórPrawdopodobieństwoUczciwy kurs
37% / 26% / 37%Wynik meczuWygrana gości37%2.70
Derived from 1X2 · excludes draw (25.8%)Podwójna szansa1274.2%1.35
Powyżej 51% · Poniżej 49%Goals 2.5Powyżej51%1.96
Tak 55% · Nie 45%Obie drużyny strzeląTak55%1.82
2.70 total expected goalsDokładny wynik1–1
9.6 expected match cornersRożnePoniżej 9.5
Probability view

Forecast probabilities and fair odds

Nie snapshot-bound 1X2 price was available for this forecast, so this page does not show a market comparison or probability-gap claim.

OutcomeForecast probabilityUczciwy kurs
AFC Wimbledon win37%2.70
Remis26%3.85
Newport County win37%2.70

Fair odds are calculated directly from the published forecast probabilities and are not bookmaker prices.

Scoring projection

Expected-goals split

Expected goals show how the projected scoring total is divided between the two teams.

AFC Wimbledon1.34

Gospodarze share of expected goals 49.6%

Total expected goals2.70Balanced

Dedicated goals model: Powyżej 51% · Poniżej 49%

Newport County1.36

Goście share of expected goals 50.4%

Projected score1–1BTTS splitTak 55% · Nie 45%Match profileBalanced
Recent form

Five-result form summary

The five displayed results are summarized into wins, draws, losses and points for a quick comparison.

Gospodarze-context · form sequence

AFC Wimbledon

0.50pts / match
Rozegrane2Wins0Drawn1Losses1Punkty1

SignalNie recent signal

Goście-context · form sequence

Newport County

0.00pts / match
Rozegrane2Wins0Drawn0Losses2Punkty0

SignalNie recent signal

Side-by-side

Matchup comparison

Current match outlook
37%
Wygrana probability excluding draw
37%
1
Points from supplied form
0
1.34
Expected goals
1.36
AFC WimbledonNewport County
Signals and risk

What supports — and challenges — the call

Signals are kept separate from derived risk checks so the page never turns one trend into certainty.

Match signal

Low-confidence goal-prior fallback leans AWAY

This is the main matchup observation to consider alongside the probabilities and recent form.

01AFC Wimbledon signalNie recent signal

This trend belongs to the home team and should be read alongside the probability table.

02Newport County signalNie recent signal

This trend belongs to the away team and does not override the independent market probabilities.

!Primary-call risk63% outside the selected call

The selected outcome can still fail. Remis probability alone is 26%.

Match questions

AFC Wimbledon vs Newport County FAQ

What is the current prediction?

Current prediction: Wygrana gości · Projected score 1–1 · 37% selection probability.

What are the 1X2 probabilities?

AFC Wimbledon wygrana 37%,Remis 26%,Newport County wygrana 37%。

Is this expected to be a high-scoring match?

Total expected goals 2.70 · Powyżej 2.5 51% · Current selection Powyżej