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ENG Angleterre - EFL Cup · Match ·

AFC Wimbledon vs Newport County

Baseline forecast,stats and analysis

Domicile form
Projected score1–12.70 expected goals
Extérieur form
Victoire à domicile37%
Nul26%
Victoire à l’extérieur37%
Baseline forecastVictoire à l’extérieurTier C · 37% selection probability
Baseline forecast · Tier C

Match prediction

Low-confidence goal-prior fallback leans AWAY Compare the forecast probabilities, fair prices, form and key match signals below.

Primary callVictoire à l’extérieur37% selection probability
Projected score1–1AFC WimbledonNewport County
Expected goals2.70Balanced match profile
Goals 2.5Plus de51% for the selected side
Les deux équipes marquentOui55% for the selected side
Expected corners9.6Moins de 9.5
Market dashboard

Every available prediction

Each row shows the selection and probability for that market. Correct-score and corner projections do not include standalone probabilities.

MarketSélectionProbabilitéCote juste
37% / 26% / 37%Résultat du matchVictoire à l’extérieur37%2.70
Derived from 1X2 · excludes draw (25.8%)Double chance1274.2%1.35
Plus de 51% · Moins de 49%Goals 2.5Plus de51%1.96
Oui 55% · Non 45%Les deux équipes marquentOui55%1.82
2.70 total expected goalsScore exact1–1
9.6 expected match cornersCornersMoins de 9.5
Probability view

Forecast probabilities and fair odds

Non snapshot-bound 1X2 price was available for this forecast, so this page does not show a market comparison or probability-gap claim.

OutcomeForecast probabilityCote juste
AFC Wimbledon win37%2.70
Nul26%3.85
Newport County win37%2.70

Fair odds are calculated directly from the published forecast probabilities and are not bookmaker prices.

Scoring projection

Expected-goals split

Expected goals show how the projected scoring total is divided between the two teams.

AFC Wimbledon1.34

Domicile share of expected goals 49.6%

Total expected goals2.70Balanced

Dedicated goals model: Plus de 51% · Moins de 49%

Newport County1.36

Extérieur share of expected goals 50.4%

Projected score1–1BTTS splitOui 55% · Non 45%Match profileBalanced
Recent form

Five-result form summary

The five displayed results are summarized into wins, draws, losses and points for a quick comparison.

Domicile-context · form sequence

AFC Wimbledon

0.50pts / match
Joués2Wins0Drawn1Losses1Points1

SignalNon recent signal

Extérieur-context · form sequence

Newport County

0.00pts / match
Joués2Wins0Drawn0Losses2Points0

SignalNon recent signal

Side-by-side

Matchup comparison

Current match outlook
37%
Gagné probability excluding draw
37%
1
Points from supplied form
0
1.34
Expected goals
1.36
AFC WimbledonNewport County
Signals and risk

What supports — and challenges — the call

Signals are kept separate from derived risk checks so the page never turns one trend into certainty.

Match signal

Low-confidence goal-prior fallback leans AWAY

This is the main matchup observation to consider alongside the probabilities and recent form.

01AFC Wimbledon signalNon recent signal

This trend belongs to the home team and should be read alongside the probability table.

02Newport County signalNon recent signal

This trend belongs to the away team and does not override the independent market probabilities.

!Primary-call risk63% outside the selected call

The selected outcome can still fail. Nul probability alone is 26%.

Match questions

AFC Wimbledon vs Newport County FAQ

What is the current prediction?

Current prediction: Victoire à l’extérieur · Projected score 1–1 · 37% selection probability.

What are the 1X2 probabilities?

AFC Wimbledon victoire 37%,Nul 26%,Newport County victoire 37%。

Is this expected to be a high-scoring match?

Total expected goals 2.70 · Plus de 2.5 51% · Current selection Plus de