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HRV Chorwacja - HNL · Final ·

NK Varazdin vs HNK Rijeka

Prediction review

Gospodarze form
Final score2–0Prognoza 1–1
Goście form
Wygrana gospodarzy31%
Remis30%
Wygrana gości39%
Full model forecastWygrana gościTier A · 39% selection probability
Prediction Nietrafiony
Full model forecast · Tier A

Match prediction

Market-aware blend leans AWAY; raw model leaned HOME Compare the forecast, reference prices, form and key match signals below.

Primary callWygrana gości39% selection probability
Projected score1–1NK VarazdinHNK Rijeka
Expected goals2.22Low-scoring match profile
Goals 2.5Poniżej62% for the selected side
Obie drużyny strzeląNie55% for the selected side
Expected corners9.4Poniżej 9.5
Market dashboard

Every available prediction

Each row shows the selection and probability for that market. Correct-score and corner projections do not include standalone probabilities.

MarketWybórPrawdopodobieństwoUczciwy kurs
31% / 30% / 39%Wynik meczuWygrana gości39%2.56
Derived from 1X2 · excludes draw (29.7%)Podwójna szansa1270.3%1.42
Powyżej 38% · Poniżej 62%Goals 2.5Poniżej62%1.61
Tak 45% · Nie 55%Obie drużyny strzeląNie55%1.82
2.22 total expected goalsDokładny wynik1–1
9.4 expected match cornersRożnePoniżej 9.5
Price comparison

Published forecast vs reference market

Reference odds are converted to normalized probabilities. The gap is descriptive and is not a claim of guaranteed value.

Displayed margin9.1%Largest probability gapHNK Rijeka winDifference-0.9 pp
OutcomePrognozaUczciwy kursReference oddsNormalized marketDifference
NK Varazdin win31%3.233.0030.6%+0.4 pp
Remis30%3.333.1029.6%+0.4 pp
HNK Rijeka win39%2.562.3039.9%-0.9 pp

Reference odds are the pre-match prices stored with this forecast; later market movements do not change the original review.

Scoring projection

Expected-goals split

Expected goals show how the projected scoring total is divided between the two teams.

NK Varazdin1.15

Gospodarze share of expected goals 51.8%

Total expected goals2.22Low-scoring

Dedicated goals model: Powyżej 38% · Poniżej 62%

HNK Rijeka1.07

Goście share of expected goals 48.2%

Projected score1–1BTTS splitTak 45% · Nie 55%Match profileLow-scoring
Recent form

Five-result form summary

The five displayed results are summarized into wins, draws, losses and points for a quick comparison.

Gospodarze-context · form sequence

NK Varazdin

2.40pts / match
Rozegrane5Wins4Drawn0Losses1Punkty12

SignalGospodarze unbeaten 4/5

Goście-context · form sequence

HNK Rijeka

2.60pts / match
Rozegrane5Wins4Drawn1Losses0Punkty13

SignalGospodarze matches over 2.5: 3/5

Side-by-side

Matchup comparison

Current match outlook
31%
Wygrana probability excluding draw
39%
12
Points from supplied form
13
1.15
Expected goals
1.07
NK VarazdinHNK Rijeka
Signals and risk

What supports — and challenges — the call

Signals are kept separate from derived risk checks so the page never turns one trend into certainty.

Match signal

Market-aware blend leans AWAY; raw model leaned HOME

This is the main matchup observation to consider alongside the probabilities and recent form.

01NK Varazdin signalGospodarze unbeaten 4/5

This trend belongs to the home team and should be read alongside the probability table.

02HNK Rijeka signalGospodarze matches over 2.5: 3/5

This trend belongs to the away team and does not override the independent market probabilities.

!Primary-call risk61% outside the selected call

The selected outcome can still fail. Remis probability alone is 30%.

Match questions

NK Varazdin vs HNK Rijeka FAQ

What is the current prediction?

Current prediction: Wygrana gości · Projected score 1–1 · 39% selection probability.

What are the 1X2 probabilities?

NK Varazdin wygrana 31%,Remis 30%,HNK Rijeka wygrana 39%。

Is this expected to be a high-scoring match?

Total expected goals 2.22 · Powyżej 2.5 38% · Current selection Poniżej