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ENG Anglia - National League North · Mecz ·

Darlington vs Worksop Town

Full model forecast,stats and analysis

Gospodarze form
Projected score2–13.17 expected goals
Goście form
Wygrana gospodarzy43%
Remis25%
Wygrana gości32%
Full model forecastWygrana gospodarzyTier A · 43% selection probability
Full model forecast · Tier A

Match prediction

Model and market agree on HOME Compare the forecast, reference prices, form and key match signals below.

Primary callWygrana gospodarzy43% selection probability
Projected score2–1DarlingtonWorksop Town
Expected goals3.17Otwarcie match profile
Goals 2.5Powyżej61% for the selected side
Obie drużyny strzeląTak62% for the selected side
Expected corners10.3Powyżej 9.5
Market dashboard

Every available prediction

Each row shows the selection and probability for that market. Correct-score and corner projections do not include standalone probabilities.

MarketWybórPrawdopodobieństwoUczciwy kurs
43% / 25% / 32%Wynik meczuWygrana gospodarzy43%2.33
Derived from 1X2 · excludes draw (24.9%)Podwójna szansa1275.1%1.33
Powyżej 61% · Poniżej 39%Goals 2.5Powyżej61%1.64
Tak 62% · Nie 38%Obie drużyny strzeląTak62%1.61
3.17 total expected goalsDokładny wynik2–1
10.3 expected match cornersRożnePowyżej 9.5
Price comparison

Published forecast vs reference market

Reference odds are converted to normalized probabilities. The gap is descriptive and is not a claim of guaranteed value.

Displayed margin11.1%Largest probability gapDarlington winDifference+0.1 pp
OutcomePrognozaUczciwy kursReference oddsNormalized marketDifference
Darlington win43%2.332.1042.9%+0.1 pp
Remis25%4.003.6025%0.0 pp
Worksop Town win32%3.132.8032.1%-0.1 pp

Reference odds are the pre-match prices stored with this forecast; later market movements do not change the original review.

Scoring projection

Expected-goals split

Expected goals show how the projected scoring total is divided between the two teams.

Darlington1.86

Gospodarze share of expected goals 58.7%

Total expected goals3.17Otwarcie

Dedicated goals model: Powyżej 61% · Poniżej 39%

Worksop Town1.31

Goście share of expected goals 41.3%

Projected score2–1BTTS splitTak 62% · Nie 38%Match profileOtwarcie
Recent form

Five-result form summary

The five displayed results are summarized into wins, draws, losses and points for a quick comparison.

Gospodarze-context · form sequence

Darlington

0.80pts / match
Rozegrane5Wins1Drawn1Losses3Punkty4

SignalGospodarze matches over 2.5: 3/5

Goście-context · form sequence

Worksop Town

1.40pts / match
Rozegrane5Wins2Drawn1Losses2Punkty7

SignalGoście matches over 2.5: 3/5

Side-by-side

Matchup comparison

Current match outlook
43%
Wygrana probability excluding draw
32%
4
Points from supplied form
7
1.86
Expected goals
1.31
DarlingtonWorksop Town
Signals and risk

What supports — and challenges — the call

Signals are kept separate from derived risk checks so the page never turns one trend into certainty.

Match signal

Model and market agree on HOME

This is the main matchup observation to consider alongside the probabilities and recent form.

01Darlington signalGospodarze matches over 2.5: 3/5

This trend belongs to the home team and should be read alongside the probability table.

02Worksop Town signalGoście matches over 2.5: 3/5

This trend belongs to the away team and does not override the independent market probabilities.

!Primary-call risk57% outside the selected call

The selected outcome can still fail. Remis probability alone is 25%.

Match questions

Darlington vs Worksop Town FAQ

What is the current prediction?

Current prediction: Wygrana gospodarzy · Projected score 2–1 · 43% selection probability.

What are the 1X2 probabilities?

Darlington wygrana 43%,Remis 25%,Worksop Town wygrana 32%。

Is this expected to be a high-scoring match?

Total expected goals 3.17 · Powyżej 2.5 61% · Current selection Powyżej