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ENG Anglie - National League - Sever · Zápas ·

Darlington vs Worksop Town

Full model forecast,stats and analysis

Domácí form
Projected score2–13.17 expected goals
Hosté form
Výhra domácích43%
Remíza25%
Výhra hostů32%
Full model forecastVýhra domácíchTier A · 43% selection probability
Full model forecast · Tier A

Match prediction

Model and market agree on HOME Compare the forecast, reference prices, form and key match signals below.

Primary callVýhra domácích43% selection probability
Projected score2–1DarlingtonWorksop Town
Expected goals3.17Otevírací match profile
Goals 2.5Více61% for the selected side
Oba týmy skórujíAno62% for the selected side
Expected corners10.3Více 9.5
Market dashboard

Every available prediction

Each row shows the selection and probability for that market. Correct-score and corner projections do not include standalone probabilities.

MarketVýběrPravděpodobnostFérový kurz
43% / 25% / 32%Výsledek zápasuVýhra domácích43%2.33
Derived from 1X2 · excludes draw (24.9%)Dvojitá šance1275.1%1.33
Více 61% · Méně 39%Goals 2.5Více61%1.64
Ano 62% · Ne 38%Oba týmy skórujíAno62%1.61
3.17 total expected goalsPřesné skóre2–1
10.3 expected match cornersRohyVíce 9.5
Price comparison

Published forecast vs reference market

Reference odds are converted to normalized probabilities. The gap is descriptive and is not a claim of guaranteed value.

Displayed margin11.1%Largest probability gapDarlington winDifference+0.1 pp
OutcomePředpověďFérový kurzReference oddsNormalized marketDifference
Darlington win43%2.332.1042.9%+0.1 pp
Remíza25%4.003.6025%0.0 pp
Worksop Town win32%3.132.8032.1%-0.1 pp

Reference odds are the pre-match prices stored with this forecast; later market movements do not change the original review.

Scoring projection

Expected-goals split

Expected goals show how the projected scoring total is divided between the two teams.

Darlington1.86

Domácí share of expected goals 58.7%

Total expected goals3.17Otevírací

Dedicated goals model: Více 61% · Méně 39%

Worksop Town1.31

Hosté share of expected goals 41.3%

Projected score2–1BTTS splitAno 62% · Ne 38%Match profileOtevírací
Recent form

Five-result form summary

The five displayed results are summarized into wins, draws, losses and points for a quick comparison.

Domácí-context · form sequence

Darlington

0.80pts / match
Odehráno5Wins1Drawn1Losses3Body4

SignalDomácí matches over 2.5: 3/5

Hosté-context · form sequence

Worksop Town

1.40pts / match
Odehráno5Wins2Drawn1Losses2Body7

SignalHosté matches over 2.5: 3/5

Side-by-side

Matchup comparison

Current match outlook
43%
Výhra probability excluding draw
32%
4
Points from supplied form
7
1.86
Expected goals
1.31
DarlingtonWorksop Town
Signals and risk

What supports — and challenges — the call

Signals are kept separate from derived risk checks so the page never turns one trend into certainty.

Match signal

Model and market agree on HOME

This is the main matchup observation to consider alongside the probabilities and recent form.

01Darlington signalDomácí matches over 2.5: 3/5

This trend belongs to the home team and should be read alongside the probability table.

02Worksop Town signalHosté matches over 2.5: 3/5

This trend belongs to the away team and does not override the independent market probabilities.

!Primary-call risk57% outside the selected call

The selected outcome can still fail. Remíza probability alone is 25%.

Match questions

Darlington vs Worksop Town FAQ

What is the current prediction?

Current prediction: Výhra domácích · Projected score 2–1 · 43% selection probability.

What are the 1X2 probabilities?

Darlington výhra 43%,Remíza 25%,Worksop Town výhra 32%。

Is this expected to be a high-scoring match?

Total expected goals 3.17 · Více 2.5 61% · Current selection Více