Market dashboard
Every available prediction
Each row shows the selection and probability for that market. Correct-score and corner projections do not include standalone probabilities.
MarketSelectieWaarschijnlijkheidEerlijke odds
48% / 25% / 27%WedstrijdresultaatThuiswinst48%2.08
Derived from 1X2 · excludes draw (24.6%)Dubbele Kans1275.4%1.33
Boven 66% · Onder 34%Goals 2.5Boven66%1.52
Ja 65% · Nee 35%Beide teams scorenJa65%1.54
3.38 total expected goalsExacte score2–1——
9.2 expected match cornersHoekschoppenOnder 9.5——
Price comparison
Published forecast vs reference market
Reference odds are converted to normalized probabilities. The gap is descriptive and is not a claim of guaranteed value.
Displayed margin9.1%Largest probability gapAarau winDifference-0.3 pp
OutcomeVoorspellingEerlijke oddsReference oddsNormalized marketDifference
Aarau win48%2.081.9048.3%-0.3 pp
Gelijkspel25%4.003.7024.8%+0.2 pp
Neuchatel Xamax win27%3.703.4027%0.0 pp
Reference odds are the pre-match prices stored with this forecast; later market movements do not change the original review.
Scoring projection
Expected-goals split
Expected goals show how the projected scoring total is divided between the two teams.
Thuis share of expected goals 58.9%
Total expected goals3.38Openen
Dedicated goals model: Boven 66% · Onder 34%
Uit share of expected goals 41.1%
Projected score2–1BTTS splitJa 65% · Nee 35%Match profileOpenen
Recent form
Five-result form summary
The five displayed results are summarized into wins, draws, losses and points for a quick comparison.
Thuis-context · form sequence
1.40pts / matchAarau
LWDLW
Gespeeld5Wins2Drawn1Losses2Punten7
SignalThuis matches over 2.5: 4/5
Uit-context · form sequence
2.40pts / matchNeuchatel Xamax
LWWWW
Gespeeld5Wins4Drawn0Losses1Punten12
SignalThuis unbeaten in 3 recent home matches
Side-by-side
Current match outlookMatchup comparison
48%
Gewonnen probability excluding draw
27%7
Points from supplied form
121.99
Expected goals
1.39AarauNeuchatel Xamax
Signals and risk
What supports — and challenges — the call
Signals are kept separate from derived risk checks so the page never turns one trend into certainty.
Model and market agree on HOME
This is the main matchup observation to consider alongside the probabilities and recent form.
This trend belongs to the home team and should be read alongside the probability table.
This trend belongs to the away team and does not override the independent market probabilities.
The selected outcome can still fail. Gelijkspel probability alone is 25%.
Match questions
Aarau vs Neuchatel Xamax FAQ
What is the current prediction?
Current prediction: Thuiswinst · Projected score 2–1 · 48% selection probability.
What are the 1X2 probabilities?
Aarau gewonnen 48%，Gelijkspel 25%，Neuchatel Xamax gewonnen 27%。
Is this expected to be a high-scoring match?
Total expected goals 3.38 · Boven 2.5 66% · Current selection Boven。