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INT Italy Serie A Cup Women · Wedstrijd ·

Lazio (D) vs Napoli (D)

Market-based forecast,stats and analysis

Thuis form
Projected score2–12.62 expected goals
Uit form
Thuiswinst52%
Gelijkspel25%
Uitwinst24%
Market-based forecastThuiswinstTier B · 52% selection probability
Market-based forecast · Tier B

Match prediction

Market-led fallback leans HOME Compare the forecast, reference prices, form and key match signals below.

Primary callThuiswinst52% selection probability
Projected score2–1Lazio (D)Napoli (D)
Expected goals2.62Balanced match profile
Goals 2.5Onder51% for the selected side
Beide teams scorenJa52% for the selected side
Expected corners9.9Boven 9.5
Market dashboard

Every available prediction

Each row shows the selection and probability for that market. Correct-score and corner projections do not include standalone probabilities.

MarketSelectieWaarschijnlijkheidEerlijke odds
52% / 25% / 24%WedstrijdresultaatThuiswinst52%1.92
Derived from 1X2 · excludes Napoli (D) win (23.9%)Dubbele Kans1X76.1%1.31
Boven 49% · Onder 51%Goals 2.5Onder51%1.96
Ja 52% · Nee 48%Beide teams scorenJa52%1.92
2.62 total expected goalsExacte score2–1
9.9 expected match cornersHoekschoppenBoven 9.5
Price comparison

Reference market used for this forecast

This market-based forecast is aligned to the normalized pre-match 1X2 reference. The comparison is contextual and makes no betting-edge claim.

Displayed margin11.5%Forecast sourceMarket-basedEdge claimGeen
OutcomeVoorspellingEerlijke oddsReference oddsNormalized marketDifference
Lazio (D) win52%1.921.7052.8%
Gelijkspel25%4.003.7024.2%
Napoli (D) win24%4.173.9023%

Reference odds are the pre-match prices stored with this forecast; later market movements do not change the original review.

Scoring projection

Expected-goals split

Expected goals show how the projected scoring total is divided between the two teams.

Lazio (D)1.56

Thuis share of expected goals 59.5%

Total expected goals2.62Balanced

Dedicated goals model: Boven 49% · Onder 51%

Napoli (D)1.06

Uit share of expected goals 40.5%

Projected score2–1BTTS splitJa 52% · Nee 48%Match profileBalanced
Recent form

Five-result form summary

The five displayed results are summarized into wins, draws, losses and points for a quick comparison.

Thuis-context · form sequence

Lazio (D)

3.00pts / match
Gespeeld2Wins2Drawn0Losses0Punten6

SignalThuis unbeaten 2/2

Uit-context · form sequence

Napoli (D)

0.50pts / match
Gespeeld2Wins0Drawn1Losses1Punten1

SignalNee recent signal

Side-by-side

Matchup comparison

Current match outlook
52%
Gewonnen probability excluding draw
24%
6
Points from supplied form
1
1.56
Expected goals
1.06
Lazio (D)Napoli (D)
Signals and risk

What supports — and challenges — the call

Signals are kept separate from derived risk checks so the page never turns one trend into certainty.

Match signal

Market-led fallback leans HOME

This is the main matchup observation to consider alongside the probabilities and recent form.

01Lazio (D) signalThuis unbeaten 2/2

This trend belongs to the home team and should be read alongside the probability table.

02Napoli (D) signalNee recent signal

This trend belongs to the away team and does not override the independent market probabilities.

!Primary-call risk48% outside the selected call

The selected outcome can still fail. Gelijkspel probability alone is 25%.

Match questions

Lazio (D) vs Napoli (D) FAQ

What is the current prediction?

Current prediction: Thuiswinst · Projected score 2–1 · 52% selection probability.

What are the 1X2 probabilities?

Lazio (D) gewonnen 52%,Gelijkspel 25%,Napoli (D) gewonnen 24%。

Is this expected to be a high-scoring match?

Total expected goals 2.62 · Boven 2.5 49% · Current selection Onder