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INT Vriendschappelijke wedstrijd - Dames · Wedstrijd ·

Espanyol (D) vs Villarreal (D)

Market-based forecast,stats and analysis

Thuis form
Projected score2–13.17 expected goals
Uit form
Thuiswinst54%
Gelijkspel24%
Uitwinst23%
Market-based forecastThuiswinstTier B · 54% selection probability
Market-based forecast · Tier B

Match prediction

Market-led fallback leans HOME Compare the forecast, reference prices, form and key match signals below.

Primary callThuiswinst54% selection probability
Projected score2–1Espanyol (D)Villarreal (D)
Expected goals3.17Openen match profile
Goals 2.5Boven61% for the selected side
Beide teams scorenJa61% for the selected side
Expected corners7.9Onder 9.5
Market dashboard

Every available prediction

Each row shows the selection and probability for that market. Correct-score and corner projections do not include standalone probabilities.

MarketSelectieWaarschijnlijkheidEerlijke odds
54% / 24% / 23%WedstrijdresultaatThuiswinst54%1.85
Derived from 1X2 · excludes Villarreal (D) win (22.6%)Dubbele Kans1X77.4%1.29
Boven 61% · Onder 39%Goals 2.5Boven61%1.64
Ja 61% · Nee 39%Beide teams scorenJa61%1.64
3.17 total expected goalsExacte score2–1
7.9 expected match cornersHoekschoppenOnder 9.5
Price comparison

Reference market used for this forecast

This market-based forecast is aligned to the normalized pre-match 1X2 reference. The comparison is contextual and makes no betting-edge claim.

Displayed margin11.5%Forecast sourceMarket-basedEdge claimGeen
OutcomeVoorspellingEerlijke oddsReference oddsNormalized marketDifference
Espanyol (D) win54%1.851.6753.7%
Gelijkspel24%4.173.7523.9%
Villarreal (D) win23%4.354.0022.4%

Reference odds are the pre-match prices stored with this forecast; later market movements do not change the original review.

Scoring projection

Expected-goals split

Expected goals show how the projected scoring total is divided between the two teams.

Espanyol (D)1.95

Thuis share of expected goals 61.5%

Total expected goals3.17Openen

Dedicated goals model: Boven 61% · Onder 39%

Villarreal (D)1.22

Uit share of expected goals 38.5%

Projected score2–1BTTS splitJa 61% · Nee 39%Match profileOpenen
Recent form

Five-result form summary

The five displayed results are summarized into wins, draws, losses and points for a quick comparison.

Thuis-context · form sequence

Espanyol (D)

2.00pts / match
Gespeeld5Wins3Drawn1Losses1Punten10

SignalThuis unbeaten 4/5

Uit-context · form sequence

Villarreal (D)

1.20pts / match
Gespeeld5Wins2Drawn0Losses3Punten6

SignalThuis matches under 2.5: 5/5

Side-by-side

Matchup comparison

Current match outlook
54%
Gewonnen probability excluding draw
23%
10
Points from supplied form
6
1.95
Expected goals
1.22
Espanyol (D)Villarreal (D)
Signals and risk

What supports — and challenges — the call

Signals are kept separate from derived risk checks so the page never turns one trend into certainty.

Match signal

Market-led fallback leans HOME

This is the main matchup observation to consider alongside the probabilities and recent form.

01Espanyol (D) signalThuis unbeaten 4/5

This trend belongs to the home team and should be read alongside the probability table.

02Villarreal (D) signalThuis matches under 2.5: 5/5

This trend belongs to the away team and does not override the independent market probabilities.

!Primary-call risk46% outside the selected call

The selected outcome can still fail. Gelijkspel probability alone is 24%.

Match questions

Espanyol (D) vs Villarreal (D) FAQ

What is the current prediction?

Current prediction: Thuiswinst · Projected score 2–1 · 54% selection probability.

What are the 1X2 probabilities?

Espanyol (D) gewonnen 54%,Gelijkspel 24%,Villarreal (D) gewonnen 23%。

Is this expected to be a high-scoring match?

Total expected goals 3.17 · Boven 2.5 61% · Current selection Boven