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AUT Austria Bundesliga · Wedstrijd ·

FC Salzburg vs Rapid Wien

Full model forecast,stats and analysis

Thuis form
Projected score2–12.77 expected goals
Uit form
Thuiswinst43%
Gelijkspel28%
Uitwinst29%
Full model forecastThuiswinstTier A · 43% selection probability
Full model forecast · Tier A

Match prediction

Calibrated Dixon-Coles leans HOME Compare the forecast probabilities, fair prices, form and key match signals below.

Primary callThuiswinst43% selection probability
Projected score2–1FC SalzburgRapid Wien
Expected goals2.77Balanced match profile
Goals 2.5Boven52% for the selected side
Beide teams scorenJa55% for the selected side
Expected corners9.3Onder 9.5
Market dashboard

Every available prediction

Each row shows the selection and probability for that market. Correct-score and corner projections do not include standalone probabilities.

MarketSelectieWaarschijnlijkheidEerlijke odds
43% / 28% / 29%WedstrijdresultaatThuiswinst43%2.33
Derived from 1X2 · excludes draw (28%)Dubbele Kans1272%1.39
Boven 52% · Onder 48%Goals 2.5Boven52%1.92
Ja 55% · Nee 45%Beide teams scorenJa55%1.82
2.77 total expected goalsExacte score2–1
9.3 expected match cornersHoekschoppenOnder 9.5
Probability view

Forecast probabilities and fair odds

Nee snapshot-bound 1X2 price was available for this forecast, so this page does not show a market comparison or probability-gap claim.

OutcomeForecast probabilityEerlijke odds
FC Salzburg win43%2.33
Gelijkspel28%3.57
Rapid Wien win29%3.45

Fair odds are calculated directly from the published forecast probabilities and are not bookmaker prices.

Scoring projection

Expected-goals split

Expected goals show how the projected scoring total is divided between the two teams.

FC Salzburg1.63

Thuis share of expected goals 58.8%

Total expected goals2.77Balanced

Dedicated goals model: Boven 52% · Onder 48%

Rapid Wien1.14

Uit share of expected goals 41.2%

Projected score2–1BTTS splitJa 55% · Nee 45%Match profileBalanced
Recent form

Five-result form summary

The five displayed results are summarized into wins, draws, losses and points for a quick comparison.

Thuis-context · form sequence

FC Salzburg

2.20pts / match
Gespeeld5Wins3Drawn2Losses0Punten11

SignalThuis unbeaten 5/5

Uit-context · form sequence

Rapid Wien

2.20pts / match
Gespeeld5Wins3Drawn2Losses0Punten11

SignalThuis clean sheets: 3/5

Side-by-side

Matchup comparison

Current match outlook
43%
Gewonnen probability excluding draw
29%
11
Points from supplied form
11
1.63
Expected goals
1.14
FC SalzburgRapid Wien
Signals and risk

What supports — and challenges — the call

Signals are kept separate from derived risk checks so the page never turns one trend into certainty.

Match signal

Calibrated Dixon-Coles leans HOME

This is the main matchup observation to consider alongside the probabilities and recent form.

01FC Salzburg signalThuis unbeaten 5/5

This trend belongs to the home team and should be read alongside the probability table.

02Rapid Wien signalThuis clean sheets: 3/5

This trend belongs to the away team and does not override the independent market probabilities.

!Primary-call risk57% outside the selected call

The selected outcome can still fail. Gelijkspel probability alone is 28%.

Match questions

FC Salzburg vs Rapid Wien FAQ

What is the current prediction?

Current prediction: Thuiswinst · Projected score 2–1 · 43% selection probability.

What are the 1X2 probabilities?

FC Salzburg gewonnen 43%,Gelijkspel 28%,Rapid Wien gewonnen 29%。

Is this expected to be a high-scoring match?

Total expected goals 2.77 · Boven 2.5 52% · Current selection Boven