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SCO Schotland - Premiership · Wedstrijd ·

Dundee vs St Johnstone

Baseline forecast,stats and analysis

Thuis form
Projected score2–12.75 expected goals
Uit form
Thuiswinst46%
Gelijkspel25%
Uitwinst29%
Baseline forecastThuiswinstTier C · 46% selection probability
Baseline forecast · Tier C

Match prediction

Low-confidence goal-prior fallback leans HOME Compare the forecast probabilities, fair prices, form and key match signals below.

Primary callThuiswinst46% selection probability
Projected score2–1DundeeSt Johnstone
Expected goals2.75Balanced match profile
Goals 2.5Boven52% for the selected side
Beide teams scorenJa55% for the selected side
Expected corners9.7Boven 9.5
Market dashboard

Every available prediction

Each row shows the selection and probability for that market. Correct-score and corner projections do not include standalone probabilities.

MarketSelectieWaarschijnlijkheidEerlijke odds
46% / 25% / 29%WedstrijdresultaatThuiswinst46%2.17
Derived from 1X2 · excludes draw (25.1%)Dubbele Kans1274.9%1.34
Boven 52% · Onder 48%Goals 2.5Boven52%1.92
Ja 55% · Nee 45%Beide teams scorenJa55%1.82
2.75 total expected goalsExacte score2–1
9.7 expected match cornersHoekschoppenBoven 9.5
Probability view

Forecast probabilities and fair odds

Nee snapshot-bound 1X2 price was available for this forecast, so this page does not show a market comparison or probability-gap claim.

OutcomeForecast probabilityEerlijke odds
Dundee win46%2.17
Gelijkspel25%4.00
St Johnstone win29%3.45

Fair odds are calculated directly from the published forecast probabilities and are not bookmaker prices.

Scoring projection

Expected-goals split

Expected goals show how the projected scoring total is divided between the two teams.

Dundee1.56

Thuis share of expected goals 56.7%

Total expected goals2.75Balanced

Dedicated goals model: Boven 52% · Onder 48%

St Johnstone1.19

Uit share of expected goals 43.3%

Projected score2–1BTTS splitJa 55% · Nee 45%Match profileBalanced
Recent form

Five-result form summary

The five displayed results are summarized into wins, draws, losses and points for a quick comparison.

Thuis-context · form sequence

Dundee

1.80pts / match
Gespeeld5Wins3Drawn0Losses2Punten9

SignalThuis won 3/5

Uit-context · form sequence

St Johnstone

2.40pts / match
Gespeeld5Wins4Drawn0Losses1Punten12

SignalThuis clean sheets: 2/5

Side-by-side

Matchup comparison

Current match outlook
46%
Gewonnen probability excluding draw
29%
9
Points from supplied form
12
1.56
Expected goals
1.19
DundeeSt Johnstone
Signals and risk

What supports — and challenges — the call

Signals are kept separate from derived risk checks so the page never turns one trend into certainty.

Match signal

Low-confidence goal-prior fallback leans HOME

This is the main matchup observation to consider alongside the probabilities and recent form.

01Dundee signalThuis won 3/5

This trend belongs to the home team and should be read alongside the probability table.

02St Johnstone signalThuis clean sheets: 2/5

This trend belongs to the away team and does not override the independent market probabilities.

!Primary-call risk54% outside the selected call

The selected outcome can still fail. Gelijkspel probability alone is 25%.

Match questions

Dundee vs St Johnstone FAQ

What is the current prediction?

Current prediction: Thuiswinst · Projected score 2–1 · 46% selection probability.

What are the 1X2 probabilities?

Dundee gewonnen 46%,Gelijkspel 25%,St Johnstone gewonnen 29%。

Is this expected to be a high-scoring match?

Total expected goals 2.75 · Boven 2.5 52% · Current selection Boven