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CHE Zwitserland - 1.Liga Promotion · Final ·

AC Bellinzona vs Bazel II

Prediction review

Thuis form
Final score2–3Voorspelling 2–2
Uit form
Thuiswinst38%
Gelijkspel25%
Uitwinst37%
Market-based forecastThuiswinstTier B · 38% selection probability
Prediction Verloren
Market-based forecast · Tier B

Match prediction

Market-led fallback leans HOME Compare the forecast, reference prices, form and key match signals below.

Primary callThuiswinst38% selection probability
Projected score2–2AC BellinzonaBazel II
Expected goals3.36Openen match profile
Goals 2.5Boven65% for the selected side
Beide teams scorenJa67% for the selected side
Expected corners10.3Boven 9.5
Market dashboard

Every available prediction

Each row shows the selection and probability for that market. Correct-score and corner projections do not include standalone probabilities.

MarketSelectieWaarschijnlijkheidEerlijke odds
38% / 25% / 37%WedstrijdresultaatThuiswinst38%2.63
Derived from 1X2 · excludes draw (24.8%)Dubbele Kans1275.2%1.33
Boven 65% · Onder 35%Goals 2.5Boven65%1.54
Ja 67% · Nee 33%Beide teams scorenJa67%1.49
3.36 total expected goalsExacte score2–2
10.3 expected match cornersHoekschoppenBoven 9.5
Price comparison

Reference market used for this forecast

This market-based forecast is aligned to the normalized pre-match 1X2 reference. The comparison is contextual and makes no betting-edge claim.

Displayed margin11.1%Forecast sourceMarket-basedEdge claimGeen
OutcomeVoorspellingEerlijke oddsReference oddsNormalized marketDifference
AC Bellinzona win38%2.632.4037.5%
Gelijkspel25%4.003.6025%
Bazel II win37%2.702.4037.5%

Reference odds are the pre-match prices stored with this forecast; later market movements do not change the original review.

Scoring projection

Expected-goals split

Expected goals show how the projected scoring total is divided between the two teams.

AC Bellinzona1.72

Thuis share of expected goals 51.2%

Total expected goals3.36Openen

Dedicated goals model: Boven 65% · Onder 35%

Bazel II1.64

Uit share of expected goals 48.8%

Projected score2–2BTTS splitJa 67% · Nee 33%Match profileOpenen
Recent form

Five-result form summary

The five displayed results are summarized into wins, draws, losses and points for a quick comparison.

Thuis-context · form sequence

AC Bellinzona

0.00pts / match
Gespeeld1Wins0Drawn0Losses1Punten0

SignalUit won 2/5 recent away matches

Uit-context · form sequence

Bazel II

1.40pts / match
Gespeeld5Wins2Drawn1Losses2Punten7

SignalNee recent signal

Side-by-side

Matchup comparison

Current match outlook
38%
Gewonnen probability excluding draw
37%
0
Points from supplied form
7
1.72
Expected goals
1.64
AC BellinzonaBazel II
Signals and risk

What supports — and challenges — the call

Signals are kept separate from derived risk checks so the page never turns one trend into certainty.

Match signal

Market-led fallback leans HOME

This is the main matchup observation to consider alongside the probabilities and recent form.

01AC Bellinzona signalUit won 2/5 recent away matches

This trend belongs to the home team and should be read alongside the probability table.

02Bazel II signalNee recent signal

This trend belongs to the away team and does not override the independent market probabilities.

!Primary-call risk62% outside the selected call

The selected outcome can still fail. Gelijkspel probability alone is 25%.

Match questions

AC Bellinzona vs Bazel II FAQ

What is the current prediction?

Current prediction: Thuiswinst · Projected score 2–2 · 38% selection probability.

What are the 1X2 probabilities?

AC Bellinzona gewonnen 38%,Gelijkspel 25%,Bazel II gewonnen 37%。

Is this expected to be a high-scoring match?

Total expected goals 3.36 · Boven 2.5 65% · Current selection Boven