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ITA Coppa Italia Serie C · Wedstrijd ·

Lecco vs Desenzano

Market-based forecast,stats and analysis

Thuis form
Projected score2–12.60 expected goals
Uit form
Thuiswinst58%
Gelijkspel25%
Uitwinst17%
Market-based forecastThuiswinstTier B · 58% selection probability
Market-based forecast · Tier B

Match prediction

Market-led fallback leans HOME Compare the forecast, reference prices, form and key match signals below.

Primary callThuiswinst58% selection probability
Projected score2–1LeccoDesenzano
Expected goals2.60Balanced match profile
Goals 2.5Onder52% for the selected side
Beide teams scorenJa51% for the selected side
Expected corners8.5Onder 9.5
Market dashboard

Every available prediction

Each row shows the selection and probability for that market. Correct-score and corner projections do not include standalone probabilities.

MarketSelectieWaarschijnlijkheidEerlijke odds
58% / 25% / 17%WedstrijdresultaatThuiswinst58%1.72
Derived from 1X2 · excludes Desenzano win (17.3%)Dubbele Kans1X82.7%1.21
Boven 48% · Onder 52%Goals 2.5Onder52%1.92
Ja 51% · Nee 49%Beide teams scorenJa51%1.96
2.60 total expected goalsExacte score2–1
8.5 expected match cornersHoekschoppenOnder 9.5
Price comparison

Reference market used for this forecast

This market-based forecast is aligned to the normalized pre-match 1X2 reference. The comparison is contextual and makes no betting-edge claim.

Displayed margin11.3%Forecast sourceMarket-basedEdge claimGeen
OutcomeVoorspellingEerlijke oddsReference oddsNormalized marketDifference
Lecco win58%1.721.5358.7%
Gelijkspel25%4.003.6025%
Desenzano win17%5.885.5016.3%

Reference odds are the pre-match prices stored with this forecast; later market movements do not change the original review.

Scoring projection

Expected-goals split

Expected goals show how the projected scoring total is divided between the two teams.

Lecco1.68

Thuis share of expected goals 64.6%

Total expected goals2.60Balanced

Dedicated goals model: Boven 48% · Onder 52%

Desenzano0.92

Uit share of expected goals 35.4%

Projected score2–1BTTS splitJa 51% · Nee 49%Match profileBalanced
Recent form

Five-result form summary

The five displayed results are summarized into wins, draws, losses and points for a quick comparison.

Thuis-context · form sequence

Lecco

0.60pts / match
Gespeeld5Wins1Drawn0Losses4Punten3

SignalThuis matches over 2.5: 3/5

Uit-context · form sequence

Desenzano

2.00pts / match
Gespeeld2Wins1Drawn1Losses0Punten4

SignalThuis failed to score: 3/5

Side-by-side

Matchup comparison

Current match outlook
58%
Gewonnen probability excluding draw
17%
3
Points from supplied form
4
1.68
Expected goals
0.92
LeccoDesenzano
Signals and risk

What supports — and challenges — the call

Signals are kept separate from derived risk checks so the page never turns one trend into certainty.

Match signal

Market-led fallback leans HOME

This is the main matchup observation to consider alongside the probabilities and recent form.

01Lecco signalThuis matches over 2.5: 3/5

This trend belongs to the home team and should be read alongside the probability table.

02Desenzano signalThuis failed to score: 3/5

This trend belongs to the away team and does not override the independent market probabilities.

!Primary-call risk42% outside the selected call

The selected outcome can still fail. Gelijkspel probability alone is 25%.

Match questions

Lecco vs Desenzano FAQ

What is the current prediction?

Current prediction: Thuiswinst · Projected score 2–1 · 58% selection probability.

What are the 1X2 probabilities?

Lecco gewonnen 58%,Gelijkspel 25%,Desenzano gewonnen 17%。

Is this expected to be a high-scoring match?

Total expected goals 2.60 · Boven 2.5 48% · Current selection Onder