Market dashboard
Every available prediction
Each row shows the selection and probability for that market. Correct-score and corner projections do not include standalone probabilities.
MarketSelectionProbabilityFair odds
58% / 25% / 17%Match resultHome win58%1.72
Derived from 1X2 · excludes Desenzano win (17.3%)Double chance1X82.7%1.21
Over 48% · Under 52%Goals 2.5Under52%1.92
Yes 51% · No 49%Both teams scoreYes51%1.96
2.60 total expected goalsCorrect score2–1——
8.5 expected match cornersCornersUnder 9.5——
Price comparison
Reference market used for this forecast
This market-based forecast is aligned to the normalized pre-match 1X2 reference. The comparison is contextual and makes no betting-edge claim.
Displayed margin11.3%Forecast sourceMarket-basedEdge claimNone
OutcomeForecastFair oddsReference oddsNormalized marketDifference
Lecco win58%1.721.5358.7%—
Draw25%4.003.6025%—
Desenzano win17%5.885.5016.3%—
Reference odds are the pre-match prices stored with this forecast; later market movements do not change the original review.
Scoring projection
Expected-goals split
Expected goals show how the projected scoring total is divided between the two teams.
Home share of expected goals 64.6%
Total expected goals2.60Balanced
Dedicated goals model: Over 48% · Under 52%
Away share of expected goals 35.4%
Projected score2–1BTTS splitYes 51% · No 49%Match profileBalanced
Recent form
Five-result form summary
The five displayed results are summarized into wins, draws, losses and points for a quick comparison.
Home-context · form sequence
0.60pts / matchLecco
LLLLW
Played5Wins1Drawn0Losses4Points3
SignalHome matches over 2.5: 3/5
Away-context · form sequence
2.00pts / matchDesenzano
DW
Played2Wins1Drawn1Losses0Points4
SignalHome failed to score: 3/5
Side-by-side
Current match outlookMatchup comparison
58%
Win probability excluding draw
17%3
Points from supplied form
41.68
Expected goals
0.92LeccoDesenzano
Signals and risk
What supports — and challenges — the call
Signals are kept separate from derived risk checks so the page never turns one trend into certainty.
Market-led fallback leans HOME
This is the main matchup observation to consider alongside the probabilities and recent form.
This trend belongs to the home team and should be read alongside the probability table.
This trend belongs to the away team and does not override the independent market probabilities.
The selected outcome can still fail. Draw probability alone is 25%.
Match questions
Lecco vs Desenzano FAQ
What is the current prediction?
Current prediction: Home win · Projected score 2–1 · 58% selection probability.
What are the 1X2 probabilities?
Lecco win 58%，Draw 25%，Desenzano win 17%。
Is this expected to be a high-scoring match?
Total expected goals 2.60 · Over 2.5 48% · Current selection Under。