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INT Irak - Stars League · Final ·

Erbil SC vs Al Kahrabaa

Prediction review

Thuis form
Final score2–0Voorspelling 2–1
Uit form
Thuiswinst55%
Gelijkspel26%
Uitwinst19%
Full model forecastThuiswinstTier A · 55% selection probability
Prediction Gewonnen
Full model forecast · Tier A

Match prediction

Calibrated Dixon-Coles leans HOME Compare the forecast probabilities, fair prices, form and key match signals below.

Primary callThuiswinst55% selection probability
Projected score2–1Erbil SCAl Kahrabaa
Expected goals2.84Balanced match profile
Goals 2.5Boven54% for the selected side
Beide teams scorenNee51% for the selected side
Expected corners8.1Onder 9.5
Market dashboard

Every available prediction

Each row shows the selection and probability for that market. Correct-score and corner projections do not include standalone probabilities.

MarketSelectieWaarschijnlijkheidEerlijke odds
55% / 26% / 19%WedstrijdresultaatThuiswinst55%1.82
Derived from 1X2 · excludes Al Kahrabaa win (18.9%)Dubbele Kans1X81.1%1.23
Boven 54% · Onder 46%Goals 2.5Boven54%1.85
Ja 49% · Nee 51%Beide teams scorenNee51%1.96
2.84 total expected goalsExacte score2–1
8.1 expected match cornersHoekschoppenOnder 9.5
Probability view

Forecast probabilities and fair odds

Nee snapshot-bound 1X2 price was available for this forecast, so this page does not show a market comparison or probability-gap claim.

OutcomeForecast probabilityEerlijke odds
Erbil SC win55%1.82
Gelijkspel26%3.85
Al Kahrabaa win19%5.26

Fair odds are calculated directly from the published forecast probabilities and are not bookmaker prices.

Scoring projection

Expected-goals split

Expected goals show how the projected scoring total is divided between the two teams.

Erbil SC2.03

Thuis share of expected goals 71.5%

Total expected goals2.84Balanced

Dedicated goals model: Boven 54% · Onder 46%

Al Kahrabaa0.81

Uit share of expected goals 28.5%

Projected score2–1BTTS splitJa 49% · Nee 51%Match profileBalanced
Recent form

Five-result form summary

The five displayed results are summarized into wins, draws, losses and points for a quick comparison.

Thuis-context · form sequence

Erbil SC

2.40pts / match
Gespeeld5Wins4Drawn0Losses1Punten12

SignalThuis unbeaten 4/5

Uit-context · form sequence

Al Kahrabaa

2.20pts / match
Gespeeld5Wins3Drawn2Losses0Punten11

SignalThuis matches over 2.5: 3/5

Side-by-side

Matchup comparison

Current match outlook
55%
Gewonnen probability excluding draw
19%
12
Points from supplied form
11
2.03
Expected goals
0.81
Erbil SCAl Kahrabaa
Signals and risk

What supports — and challenges — the call

Signals are kept separate from derived risk checks so the page never turns one trend into certainty.

Match signal

Calibrated Dixon-Coles leans HOME

This is the main matchup observation to consider alongside the probabilities and recent form.

01Erbil SC signalThuis unbeaten 4/5

This trend belongs to the home team and should be read alongside the probability table.

02Al Kahrabaa signalThuis matches over 2.5: 3/5

This trend belongs to the away team and does not override the independent market probabilities.

!Primary-call risk45% outside the selected call

The selected outcome can still fail. Gelijkspel probability alone is 26%.

Match questions

Erbil SC vs Al Kahrabaa FAQ

What is the current prediction?

Current prediction: Thuiswinst · Projected score 2–1 · 55% selection probability.

What are the 1X2 probabilities?

Erbil SC gewonnen 55%,Gelijkspel 26%,Al Kahrabaa gewonnen 19%。

Is this expected to be a high-scoring match?

Total expected goals 2.84 · Boven 2.5 54% · Current selection Boven