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ARG Argentina Championship Women · Final ·

Newell's (D) vs Ferro Carril Oeste (D)

Prediction review

Thuis form
Final score1–2Voorspelling 0–1
Uit form
Thuiswinst18%
Gelijkspel32%
Uitwinst49%
Full model forecastUitwinstTier A · 49% selection probability
Prediction Gewonnen
Full model forecast · Tier A

Match prediction

Calibrated Dixon-Coles leans AWAY Compare the forecast probabilities, fair prices, form and key match signals below.

Primary callUitwinst49% selection probability
Projected score0–1Newell's (D)Ferro Carril Oeste (D)
Expected goals1.80Low-scoring match profile
Goals 2.5Onder73% for the selected side
Beide teams scorenNee71% for the selected side
Expected corners7.5Onder 9.5
Market dashboard

Every available prediction

Each row shows the selection and probability for that market. Correct-score and corner projections do not include standalone probabilities.

MarketSelectieWaarschijnlijkheidEerlijke odds
18% / 32% / 49%WedstrijdresultaatUitwinst49%2.04
Derived from 1X2 · excludes Newell's (D) win (18.3%)Dubbele KansX281.7%1.22
Boven 27% · Onder 73%Goals 2.5Onder73%1.37
Ja 29% · Nee 71%Beide teams scorenNee71%1.41
1.80 total expected goalsExacte score0–1
7.5 expected match cornersHoekschoppenOnder 9.5
Probability view

Forecast probabilities and fair odds

Nee snapshot-bound 1X2 price was available for this forecast, so this page does not show a market comparison or probability-gap claim.

OutcomeForecast probabilityEerlijke odds
Newell's (D) win18%5.56
Gelijkspel32%3.13
Ferro Carril Oeste (D) win49%2.04

Fair odds are calculated directly from the published forecast probabilities and are not bookmaker prices.

Scoring projection

Expected-goals split

Expected goals show how the projected scoring total is divided between the two teams.

Newell's (D)0.49

Thuis share of expected goals 27.2%

Total expected goals1.80Low-scoring

Dedicated goals model: Boven 27% · Onder 73%

Ferro Carril Oeste (D)1.31

Uit share of expected goals 72.8%

Projected score0–1BTTS splitJa 29% · Nee 71%Match profileLow-scoring
Recent form

Five-result form summary

The five displayed results are summarized into wins, draws, losses and points for a quick comparison.

Thuis-context · form sequence

Newell's (D)

0.00pts / match
Gespeeld5Wins0Drawn0Losses5Punten0

SignalThuis matches under 2.5: 4/5

Uit-context · form sequence

Ferro Carril Oeste (D)

1.00pts / match
Gespeeld5Wins1Drawn2Losses2Punten5

SignalThuis failed to score: 4/5

Side-by-side

Matchup comparison

Current match outlook
18%
Gewonnen probability excluding draw
49%
0
Points from supplied form
5
0.49
Expected goals
1.31
Newell's (D)Ferro Carril Oeste (D)
Signals and risk

What supports — and challenges — the call

Signals are kept separate from derived risk checks so the page never turns one trend into certainty.

Match signal

Calibrated Dixon-Coles leans AWAY

This is the main matchup observation to consider alongside the probabilities and recent form.

01Newell's (D) signalThuis matches under 2.5: 4/5

This trend belongs to the home team and should be read alongside the probability table.

02Ferro Carril Oeste (D) signalThuis failed to score: 4/5

This trend belongs to the away team and does not override the independent market probabilities.

!Primary-call risk51% outside the selected call

The selected outcome can still fail. Gelijkspel probability alone is 32%.

Match questions

Newell's (D) vs Ferro Carril Oeste (D) FAQ

What is the current prediction?

Current prediction: Uitwinst · Projected score 0–1 · 49% selection probability.

What are the 1X2 probabilities?

Newell's (D) gewonnen 18%,Gelijkspel 32%,Ferro Carril Oeste (D) gewonnen 49%。

Is this expected to be a high-scoring match?

Total expected goals 1.80 · Boven 2.5 27% · Current selection Onder