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ARG Argentinië - Liga Profesional · Wedstrijd ·

Tigre vs Barracas Central

Full model forecast,stats and analysis

Thuis form
Projected score1–11.64 expected goals
Uit form
Thuiswinst43%
Gelijkspel34%
Uitwinst23%
Full model forecastThuiswinstTier A · 43% selection probability
Full model forecast · Tier A

Match prediction

Calibrated Dixon-Coles leans HOME Compare the forecast probabilities, fair prices, form and key match signals below.

Primary callThuiswinst43% selection probability
Projected score1–1TigreBarracas Central
Expected goals1.64Low-scoring match profile
Goals 2.5Onder77% for the selected side
Beide teams scorenNee71% for the selected side
Expected corners7.8Onder 9.5
Market dashboard

Every available prediction

Each row shows the selection and probability for that market. Correct-score and corner projections do not include standalone probabilities.

MarketSelectieWaarschijnlijkheidEerlijke odds
43% / 34% / 23%WedstrijdresultaatThuiswinst43%2.33
Derived from 1X2 · excludes Barracas Central win (23.1%)Dubbele Kans1X76.9%1.30
Boven 23% · Onder 77%Goals 2.5Onder77%1.30
Ja 29% · Nee 71%Beide teams scorenNee71%1.41
1.64 total expected goalsExacte score1–1
7.8 expected match cornersHoekschoppenOnder 9.5
Probability view

Forecast probabilities and fair odds

Nee snapshot-bound 1X2 price was available for this forecast, so this page does not show a market comparison or probability-gap claim.

OutcomeForecast probabilityEerlijke odds
Tigre win43%2.33
Gelijkspel34%2.94
Barracas Central win23%4.35

Fair odds are calculated directly from the published forecast probabilities and are not bookmaker prices.

Scoring projection

Expected-goals split

Expected goals show how the projected scoring total is divided between the two teams.

Tigre1.07

Thuis share of expected goals 65.2%

Total expected goals1.64Low-scoring

Dedicated goals model: Boven 23% · Onder 77%

Barracas Central0.57

Uit share of expected goals 34.8%

Projected score1–1BTTS splitJa 29% · Nee 71%Match profileLow-scoring
Recent form

Five-result form summary

The five displayed results are summarized into wins, draws, losses and points for a quick comparison.

Thuis-context · form sequence

Tigre

1.40pts / match
Gespeeld5Wins2Drawn1Losses2Punten7

SignalThuis clean sheets: 2/5

Uit-context · form sequence

Barracas Central

1.20pts / match
Gespeeld5Wins2Drawn0Losses3Punten6

SignalThuis won 2/3 recent home matches

Side-by-side

Matchup comparison

Current match outlook
43%
Gewonnen probability excluding draw
23%
7
Points from supplied form
6
1.07
Expected goals
0.57
TigreBarracas Central
Signals and risk

What supports — and challenges — the call

Signals are kept separate from derived risk checks so the page never turns one trend into certainty.

Match signal

Calibrated Dixon-Coles leans HOME

This is the main matchup observation to consider alongside the probabilities and recent form.

01Tigre signalThuis clean sheets: 2/5

This trend belongs to the home team and should be read alongside the probability table.

02Barracas Central signalThuis won 2/3 recent home matches

This trend belongs to the away team and does not override the independent market probabilities.

!Primary-call risk57% outside the selected call

The selected outcome can still fail. Gelijkspel probability alone is 34%.

Match questions

Tigre vs Barracas Central FAQ

What is the current prediction?

Current prediction: Thuiswinst · Projected score 1–1 · 43% selection probability.

What are the 1X2 probabilities?

Tigre gewonnen 43%,Gelijkspel 34%,Barracas Central gewonnen 23%。

Is this expected to be a high-scoring match?

Total expected goals 1.64 · Boven 2.5 23% · Current selection Onder