Market dashboard
Every available prediction
Each row shows the selection and probability for that market. Correct-score and corner projections do not include standalone probabilities.
MarketSelectieWaarschijnlijkheidEerlijke odds
78% / 14% / 8%WedstrijdresultaatThuiswinst78%1.28
Derived from 1X2 · excludes Luton win (7.9%)Dubbele Kans1X92.1%1.09
Boven 55% · Onder 45%Goals 2.5Boven55%1.82
Ja 53% · Nee 47%Beide teams scorenJa53%1.89
2.81 total expected goalsExacte score2–1——
9.6 expected match cornersHoekschoppenOnder 9.5——
Price comparison
Reference market used for this forecast
This market-based forecast is aligned to the normalized pre-match 1X2 reference. The comparison is contextual and makes no betting-edge claim.
Displayed margin5.5%Forecast sourceMarket-basedEdge claimGeen
OutcomeVoorspellingEerlijke oddsReference oddsNormalized marketDifference
Chelsea win78%1.281.1781%—
Gelijkspel14%7.147.5012.6%—
Luton win8%12.5015.006.3%—
Reference odds are the pre-match prices stored with this forecast; later market movements do not change the original review.
Scoring projection
Expected-goals split
Expected goals show how the projected scoring total is divided between the two teams.
Thuis share of expected goals 70.5%
Total expected goals2.81Balanced
Dedicated goals model: Boven 55% · Onder 45%
Uit share of expected goals 29.5%
Projected score2–1BTTS splitJa 53% · Nee 47%Match profileBalanced
Recent form
Five-result form summary
The five displayed results are summarized into wins, draws, losses and points for a quick comparison.
Thuis-context · form sequence
1.40pts / matchChelsea
WLWDL
Gespeeld5Wins2Drawn1Losses2Punten7
SignalThuis matches over 2.5: 4/5
Uit-context · form sequence
2.00pts / matchLuton
DWWLW
Gespeeld5Wins3Drawn1Losses1Punten10
SignalUit unbeaten 4/5
Side-by-side
Current match outlookMatchup comparison
78%
Gewonnen probability excluding draw
8%7
Points from supplied form
101.98
Expected goals
0.83ChelseaLuton
Signals and risk
What supports — and challenges — the call
Signals are kept separate from derived risk checks so the page never turns one trend into certainty.
Market-led fallback leans HOME
This is the main matchup observation to consider alongside the probabilities and recent form.
This trend belongs to the home team and should be read alongside the probability table.
This trend belongs to the away team and does not override the independent market probabilities.
The selected outcome can still fail. Gelijkspel probability alone is 14%.
Match questions
Chelsea vs Luton FAQ
What is the current prediction?
Current prediction: Thuiswinst · Projected score 2–1 · 78% selection probability.
What are the 1X2 probabilities?
Chelsea gewonnen 78%，Gelijkspel 14%，Luton gewonnen 8%。
Is this expected to be a high-scoring match?
Total expected goals 2.81 · Boven 2.5 55% · Current selection Boven。