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ENG Engeland - EFL Cup · Wedstrijd ·

Newcastle vs West Brom

Market-based forecast,stats and analysis

Thuis form
Projected score2–12.78 expected goals
Uit form
Thuiswinst69%
Gelijkspel18%
Uitwinst13%
Market-based forecastThuiswinstTier B · 69% selection probability
Market-based forecast · Tier B

Match prediction

Market-led fallback leans HOME Compare the forecast, reference prices, form and key match signals below.

Primary callThuiswinst69% selection probability
Projected score2–1NewcastleWest Brom
Expected goals2.78Balanced match profile
Goals 2.5Boven54% for the selected side
Beide teams scorenJa54% for the selected side
Expected corners9.4Onder 9.5
Market dashboard

Every available prediction

Each row shows the selection and probability for that market. Correct-score and corner projections do not include standalone probabilities.

MarketSelectieWaarschijnlijkheidEerlijke odds
69% / 18% / 13%WedstrijdresultaatThuiswinst69%1.45
Derived from 1X2 · excludes West Brom win (12.9%)Dubbele Kans1X87.1%1.15
Boven 54% · Onder 46%Goals 2.5Boven54%1.85
Ja 54% · Nee 46%Beide teams scorenJa54%1.85
2.78 total expected goalsExacte score2–1
9.4 expected match cornersHoekschoppenOnder 9.5
Price comparison

Reference market used for this forecast

This market-based forecast is aligned to the normalized pre-match 1X2 reference. The comparison is contextual and makes no betting-edge claim.

Displayed margin6.9%Forecast sourceMarket-basedEdge claimGeen
OutcomeVoorspellingEerlijke oddsReference oddsNormalized marketDifference
Newcastle win69%1.451.3072%
Gelijkspel18%5.565.5017%
West Brom win13%7.698.5011%

Reference odds are the pre-match prices stored with this forecast; later market movements do not change the original review.

Scoring projection

Expected-goals split

Expected goals show how the projected scoring total is divided between the two teams.

Newcastle1.85

Thuis share of expected goals 66.5%

Total expected goals2.78Balanced

Dedicated goals model: Boven 54% · Onder 46%

West Brom0.93

Uit share of expected goals 33.5%

Projected score2–1BTTS splitJa 54% · Nee 46%Match profileBalanced
Recent form

Five-result form summary

The five displayed results are summarized into wins, draws, losses and points for a quick comparison.

Thuis-context · form sequence

Newcastle

1.60pts / match
Gespeeld5Wins2Drawn2Losses1Punten8

SignalThuis unbeaten 4/5

Uit-context · form sequence

West Brom

2.00pts / match
Gespeeld5Wins3Drawn1Losses1Punten10

SignalThuis matches over 2.5: 3/5

Side-by-side

Matchup comparison

Current match outlook
69%
Gewonnen probability excluding draw
13%
8
Points from supplied form
10
1.85
Expected goals
0.93
NewcastleWest Brom
Signals and risk

What supports — and challenges — the call

Signals are kept separate from derived risk checks so the page never turns one trend into certainty.

Match signal

Market-led fallback leans HOME

This is the main matchup observation to consider alongside the probabilities and recent form.

01Newcastle signalThuis unbeaten 4/5

This trend belongs to the home team and should be read alongside the probability table.

02West Brom signalThuis matches over 2.5: 3/5

This trend belongs to the away team and does not override the independent market probabilities.

!Primary-call risk31% outside the selected call

The selected outcome can still fail. Gelijkspel probability alone is 18%.

Match questions

Newcastle vs West Brom FAQ

What is the current prediction?

Current prediction: Thuiswinst · Projected score 2–1 · 69% selection probability.

What are the 1X2 probabilities?

Newcastle gewonnen 69%,Gelijkspel 18%,West Brom gewonnen 13%。

Is this expected to be a high-scoring match?

Total expected goals 2.78 · Boven 2.5 54% · Current selection Boven