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ENG Engeland - EFL Cup · Wedstrijd ·

Stoke vs Hull

Market-based forecast,stats and analysis

Thuis form
Projected score1–12.63 expected goals
Uit form
Thuiswinst40%
Gelijkspel29%
Uitwinst31%
Market-based forecastThuiswinstTier B · 40% selection probability
Market-based forecast · Tier B

Match prediction

Market-led fallback leans HOME Compare the forecast, reference prices, form and key match signals below.

Primary callThuiswinst40% selection probability
Projected score1–1StokeHull
Expected goals2.63Balanced match profile
Goals 2.5Onder51% for the selected side
Beide teams scorenJa55% for the selected side
Expected corners9.8Boven 9.5
Market dashboard

Every available prediction

Each row shows the selection and probability for that market. Correct-score and corner projections do not include standalone probabilities.

MarketSelectieWaarschijnlijkheidEerlijke odds
40% / 29% / 31%WedstrijdresultaatThuiswinst40%2.50
Derived from 1X2 · excludes draw (28.8%)Dubbele Kans1271.2%1.40
Boven 49% · Onder 51%Goals 2.5Onder51%1.96
Ja 55% · Nee 45%Beide teams scorenJa55%1.82
2.63 total expected goalsExacte score1–1
9.8 expected match cornersHoekschoppenBoven 9.5
Price comparison

Reference market used for this forecast

This market-based forecast is aligned to the normalized pre-match 1X2 reference. The comparison is contextual and makes no betting-edge claim.

Displayed margin5.6%Forecast sourceMarket-basedEdge claimGeen
OutcomeVoorspellingEerlijke oddsReference oddsNormalized marketDifference
Stoke win40%2.502.3540.3%
Gelijkspel29%3.453.2529.1%
Hull win31%3.233.1030.6%

Reference odds are the pre-match prices stored with this forecast; later market movements do not change the original review.

Scoring projection

Expected-goals split

Expected goals show how the projected scoring total is divided between the two teams.

Stoke1.39

Thuis share of expected goals 52.9%

Total expected goals2.63Balanced

Dedicated goals model: Boven 49% · Onder 51%

Hull1.24

Uit share of expected goals 47.1%

Projected score1–1BTTS splitJa 55% · Nee 45%Match profileBalanced
Recent form

Five-result form summary

The five displayed results are summarized into wins, draws, losses and points for a quick comparison.

Thuis-context · form sequence

Stoke

0.80pts / match
Gespeeld5Wins1Drawn1Losses3Punten4

SignalUit unbeaten 5/5

Uit-context · form sequence

Hull

2.60pts / match
Gespeeld5Wins4Drawn1Losses0Punten13

SignalUit matches under 2.5: 4/5

Side-by-side

Matchup comparison

Current match outlook
40%
Gewonnen probability excluding draw
31%
4
Points from supplied form
13
1.39
Expected goals
1.24
StokeHull
Signals and risk

What supports — and challenges — the call

Signals are kept separate from derived risk checks so the page never turns one trend into certainty.

Match signal

Market-led fallback leans HOME

This is the main matchup observation to consider alongside the probabilities and recent form.

01Stoke signalUit unbeaten 5/5

This trend belongs to the home team and should be read alongside the probability table.

02Hull signalUit matches under 2.5: 4/5

This trend belongs to the away team and does not override the independent market probabilities.

!Primary-call risk60% outside the selected call

The selected outcome can still fail. Gelijkspel probability alone is 29%.

Match questions

Stoke vs Hull FAQ

What is the current prediction?

Current prediction: Thuiswinst · Projected score 1–1 · 40% selection probability.

What are the 1X2 probabilities?

Stoke gewonnen 40%,Gelijkspel 29%,Hull gewonnen 31%。

Is this expected to be a high-scoring match?

Total expected goals 2.63 · Boven 2.5 49% · Current selection Onder