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ENG Angleterre - EFL Cup · Match ·

Stoke vs Hull

Market-based forecast,stats and analysis

Domicile form
Projected score1–12.63 expected goals
Extérieur form
Victoire à domicile40%
Nul29%
Victoire à l’extérieur31%
Market-based forecastVictoire à domicileTier B · 40% selection probability
Market-based forecast · Tier B

Match prediction

Market-led fallback leans HOME Compare the forecast, reference prices, form and key match signals below.

Primary callVictoire à domicile40% selection probability
Projected score1–1StokeHull
Expected goals2.63Balanced match profile
Goals 2.5Moins de51% for the selected side
Les deux équipes marquentOui55% for the selected side
Expected corners9.8Plus de 9.5
Market dashboard

Every available prediction

Each row shows the selection and probability for that market. Correct-score and corner projections do not include standalone probabilities.

MarketSélectionProbabilitéCote juste
40% / 29% / 31%Résultat du matchVictoire à domicile40%2.50
Derived from 1X2 · excludes draw (28.8%)Double chance1271.2%1.40
Plus de 49% · Moins de 51%Goals 2.5Moins de51%1.96
Oui 55% · Non 45%Les deux équipes marquentOui55%1.82
2.63 total expected goalsScore exact1–1
9.8 expected match cornersCornersPlus de 9.5
Price comparison

Reference market used for this forecast

This market-based forecast is aligned to the normalized pre-match 1X2 reference. The comparison is contextual and makes no betting-edge claim.

Displayed margin5.6%Forecast sourceMarket-basedEdge claimAucun
OutcomePronosticCote justeReference oddsNormalized marketDifference
Stoke win40%2.502.3540.3%
Nul29%3.453.2529.1%
Hull win31%3.233.1030.6%

Reference odds are the pre-match prices stored with this forecast; later market movements do not change the original review.

Scoring projection

Expected-goals split

Expected goals show how the projected scoring total is divided between the two teams.

Stoke1.39

Domicile share of expected goals 52.9%

Total expected goals2.63Balanced

Dedicated goals model: Plus de 49% · Moins de 51%

Hull1.24

Extérieur share of expected goals 47.1%

Projected score1–1BTTS splitOui 55% · Non 45%Match profileBalanced
Recent form

Five-result form summary

The five displayed results are summarized into wins, draws, losses and points for a quick comparison.

Domicile-context · form sequence

Stoke

0.80pts / match
Joués5Wins1Drawn1Losses3Points4

SignalExtérieur unbeaten 5/5

Extérieur-context · form sequence

Hull

2.60pts / match
Joués5Wins4Drawn1Losses0Points13

SignalExtérieur matches under 2.5: 4/5

Side-by-side

Matchup comparison

Current match outlook
40%
Gagné probability excluding draw
31%
4
Points from supplied form
13
1.39
Expected goals
1.24
StokeHull
Signals and risk

What supports — and challenges — the call

Signals are kept separate from derived risk checks so the page never turns one trend into certainty.

Match signal

Market-led fallback leans HOME

This is the main matchup observation to consider alongside the probabilities and recent form.

01Stoke signalExtérieur unbeaten 5/5

This trend belongs to the home team and should be read alongside the probability table.

02Hull signalExtérieur matches under 2.5: 4/5

This trend belongs to the away team and does not override the independent market probabilities.

!Primary-call risk60% outside the selected call

The selected outcome can still fail. Nul probability alone is 29%.

Match questions

Stoke vs Hull FAQ

What is the current prediction?

Current prediction: Victoire à domicile · Projected score 1–1 · 40% selection probability.

What are the 1X2 probabilities?

Stoke victoire 40%,Nul 29%,Hull victoire 31%。

Is this expected to be a high-scoring match?

Total expected goals 2.63 · Plus de 2.5 49% · Current selection Moins de