MatchFormula Zoek een wedstrijd
Menu
UTC+8
TijdzoneAsia/Shanghai
Nederlands
PRY Paraguay - Reserve League · Wedstrijd ·

Sportivo Ameliano - Reserves vs Cerro Porteno - Reserves

Full model forecast,stats and analysis

Thuis form
Projected score2–24.02 expected goals
Uit form
Thuiswinst44%
Gelijkspel22%
Uitwinst34%
Full model forecastThuiswinstTier A · 44% selection probability
Full model forecast · Tier A

Match prediction

Model and market agree on HOME Compare the forecast, reference prices, form and key match signals below.

Primary callThuiswinst44% selection probability
Projected score2–2Sportivo Ameliano - ReservesCerro Porteno - Reserves
Expected goals4.02Openen match profile
Goals 2.5Boven77% for the selected side
Beide teams scorenJa73% for the selected side
Expected corners10.1Boven 9.5
Market dashboard

Every available prediction

Each row shows the selection and probability for that market. Correct-score and corner projections do not include standalone probabilities.

MarketSelectieWaarschijnlijkheidEerlijke odds
44% / 22% / 34%WedstrijdresultaatThuiswinst44%2.27
Derived from 1X2 · excludes draw (22.3%)Dubbele Kans1277.7%1.29
Boven 77% · Onder 23%Goals 2.5Boven77%1.30
Ja 73% · Nee 27%Beide teams scorenJa73%1.37
4.02 total expected goalsExacte score2–2
10.1 expected match cornersHoekschoppenBoven 9.5
Price comparison

Published forecast vs reference market

Reference odds are converted to normalized probabilities. The gap is descriptive and is not a claim of guaranteed value.

Displayed margin11.1%Largest probability gapSportivo Ameliano - Reserves winDifference+1.1 pp
OutcomeVoorspellingEerlijke oddsReference oddsNormalized marketDifference
Sportivo Ameliano - Reserves win44%2.272.1042.9%+1.1 pp
Gelijkspel22%4.554.0022.5%-0.5 pp
Cerro Porteno - Reserves win34%2.942.6034.6%-0.6 pp

Reference odds are the pre-match prices stored with this forecast; later market movements do not change the original review.

Scoring projection

Expected-goals split

Expected goals show how the projected scoring total is divided between the two teams.

Sportivo Ameliano - Reserves2.42

Thuis share of expected goals 60.2%

Total expected goals4.02Openen

Dedicated goals model: Boven 77% · Onder 23%

Cerro Porteno - Reserves1.60

Uit share of expected goals 39.8%

Projected score2–2BTTS splitJa 73% · Nee 27%Match profileOpenen
Recent form

Five-result form summary

The five displayed results are summarized into wins, draws, losses and points for a quick comparison.

Thuis-context · form sequence

Sportivo Ameliano - Reserves

2.40pts / match
Gespeeld5Wins4Drawn0Losses1Punten12

SignalThuis unbeaten 4/5

Uit-context · form sequence

Cerro Porteno - Reserves

2.40pts / match
Gespeeld5Wins4Drawn0Losses1Punten12

SignalThuis matches over 2.5: 4/5

Side-by-side

Matchup comparison

Current match outlook
44%
Gewonnen probability excluding draw
34%
12
Points from supplied form
12
2.42
Expected goals
1.60
Sportivo Ameliano - ReservesCerro Porteno - Reserves
Signals and risk

What supports — and challenges — the call

Signals are kept separate from derived risk checks so the page never turns one trend into certainty.

Match signal

Model and market agree on HOME

This is the main matchup observation to consider alongside the probabilities and recent form.

01Sportivo Ameliano - Reserves signalThuis unbeaten 4/5

This trend belongs to the home team and should be read alongside the probability table.

02Cerro Porteno - Reserves signalThuis matches over 2.5: 4/5

This trend belongs to the away team and does not override the independent market probabilities.

!Primary-call risk56% outside the selected call

The selected outcome can still fail. Gelijkspel probability alone is 22%.

Match questions

Sportivo Ameliano - Reserves vs Cerro Porteno - Reserves FAQ

What is the current prediction?

Current prediction: Thuiswinst · Projected score 2–2 · 44% selection probability.

What are the 1X2 probabilities?

Sportivo Ameliano - Reserves gewonnen 44%,Gelijkspel 22%,Cerro Porteno - Reserves gewonnen 34%。

Is this expected to be a high-scoring match?

Total expected goals 4.02 · Boven 2.5 77% · Current selection Boven