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INT Elite Club Friendlies · Wedstrijd ·

Marseille vs Athletic Bilbao

Market-based forecast,stats and analysis

Thuis form
Projected score2–12.94 expected goals
Uit form
Thuiswinst41%
Gelijkspel25%
Uitwinst34%
Market-based forecastThuiswinstTier B · 41% selection probability
Market-based forecast · Tier B

Match prediction

Market-led fallback leans HOME Compare the forecast, reference prices, form and key match signals below.

Primary callThuiswinst41% selection probability
Projected score2–1MarseilleAthletic Bilbao
Expected goals2.94Balanced match profile
Goals 2.5Boven56% for the selected side
Beide teams scorenJa59% for the selected side
Expected corners8.2Onder 9.5
Market dashboard

Every available prediction

Each row shows the selection and probability for that market. Correct-score and corner projections do not include standalone probabilities.

MarketSelectieWaarschijnlijkheidEerlijke odds
41% / 25% / 34%WedstrijdresultaatThuiswinst41%2.44
Derived from 1X2 · excludes draw (25.1%)Dubbele Kans1274.9%1.34
Boven 56% · Onder 44%Goals 2.5Boven56%1.79
Ja 59% · Nee 41%Beide teams scorenJa59%1.69
2.94 total expected goalsExacte score2–1
8.2 expected match cornersHoekschoppenOnder 9.5
Price comparison

Reference market used for this forecast

This market-based forecast is aligned to the normalized pre-match 1X2 reference. The comparison is contextual and makes no betting-edge claim.

Displayed margin10.3%Forecast sourceMarket-basedEdge claimGeen
OutcomeVoorspellingEerlijke oddsReference oddsNormalized marketDifference
Marseille win41%2.442.2041.2%
Gelijkspel25%4.003.6025.2%
Athletic Bilbao win34%2.942.7033.6%

Reference odds are the pre-match prices stored with this forecast; later market movements do not change the original review.

Scoring projection

Expected-goals split

Expected goals show how the projected scoring total is divided between the two teams.

Marseille1.55

Thuis share of expected goals 52.7%

Total expected goals2.94Balanced

Dedicated goals model: Boven 56% · Onder 44%

Athletic Bilbao1.39

Uit share of expected goals 47.3%

Projected score2–1BTTS splitJa 59% · Nee 41%Match profileBalanced
Recent form

Five-result form summary

The five displayed results are summarized into wins, draws, losses and points for a quick comparison.

Thuis-context · form sequence

Marseille

2.40pts / match
Gespeeld5Wins4Drawn0Losses1Punten12

SignalThuis unbeaten 4/5

Uit-context · form sequence

Athletic Bilbao

2.60pts / match
Gespeeld5Wins4Drawn1Losses0Punten13

SignalThuis matches over 2.5: 5/5

Side-by-side

Matchup comparison

Current match outlook
41%
Gewonnen probability excluding draw
34%
12
Points from supplied form
13
1.55
Expected goals
1.39
MarseilleAthletic Bilbao
Signals and risk

What supports — and challenges — the call

Signals are kept separate from derived risk checks so the page never turns one trend into certainty.

Match signal

Market-led fallback leans HOME

This is the main matchup observation to consider alongside the probabilities and recent form.

01Marseille signalThuis unbeaten 4/5

This trend belongs to the home team and should be read alongside the probability table.

02Athletic Bilbao signalThuis matches over 2.5: 5/5

This trend belongs to the away team and does not override the independent market probabilities.

!Primary-call risk59% outside the selected call

The selected outcome can still fail. Gelijkspel probability alone is 25%.

Match questions

Marseille vs Athletic Bilbao FAQ

What is the current prediction?

Current prediction: Thuiswinst · Projected score 2–1 · 41% selection probability.

What are the 1X2 probabilities?

Marseille gewonnen 41%,Gelijkspel 25%,Athletic Bilbao gewonnen 34%。

Is this expected to be a high-scoring match?

Total expected goals 2.94 · Boven 2.5 56% · Current selection Boven